‘Last chair, best chair’ Monday

Monday, March 27, 2017 at 7:01 am

Summary:

Strong cold front will move over the region today bringing valley rain and mountain snowfall.  Colder air arrives tonight with snow continuing.  Clearing out on Tuesday with a break thru Wednesday. Next storm arrives later in the day on Thursday thru Friday.

Details:

Our spring roller coaster continues…  After warm bluebird conditions on the mountain yesterday, we are back to storms today.  A cold front is currently approaching northwest Utah and will move into the Wasatch by midday.  This is going to bring periods of heavy valley rain and mountain snowfall.  Snow levels will be relatively high, around 7,000 feet for much of today before dropping below 6,000 feet tonight.  Here is how the HRRR portrays this cold front blowing up today with heavy precip:

The latest NAM is optimistic regarding snowfall for the Cottonwoods:

Univ of Utah

Rainy day in the valleys, but the skiing in the mountains will get better with each run this afternoon.  Then snow continues into this evening.  Tomorrow morning should also be very good.  Models have increased their QPF, so I am confident to increase totals.  By Tuesday morning, we can expect 7-14″ with 10-20″ for the Cottonwoods.   Not a bad storm for late March…

A break late Tuesday thru Wednesday.  Next storm approaches on Thursday with snow developing by later in the day.  This storm should continue into Thursday night and Friday.  Models still not showing complete agreement on how much split this storm will have.  We could see the best energy drop into southern Utah which would limit totals for northern mountains.  If it stays consolidated, we could see another healthy dump.

Long Range:

Looks like a little bit of a break in the action to start April, but it’s a typical spring “dirty ridge”, so we could see showers over the region from time to time.  Overall it seems the pattern is more likely to bring additional storms than it is to give us a massive ridge over the first week or two of April.  We’ll continue to watch as always…

WSF

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