Breezy and cloudy day today as a storm system approaches the area. Snow will begin this afternoon up north and spread south this evening and continue overnight. Monday should be a great powder day. A break mid-week with chances for snow late this week into next weekend.
Front is slowly approaching the region today. Plenty of wind ahead of the front along with warm temperatures. The front will pass through from northwest to southeast this afternoon and this evening with snow developing. The snow should continue, heavy at times, into tonight before turning showery for tomorrow. Temperatures will rapidly drop behind the front with snow levels falling to all valley floors. As for accumulations, I think most mountain locations with be in the 8-16″ range. The Cottonwoods should be 12-18″. It’s certainly possibly that we could better these amounts, as has been the theme for most storms this season.
Here is the latest NAM projections for the upper Cottonwoods:
Basically in line with our forecast, perhaps adding a few extra inches in occasional showers Monday afternoon and evening.
We will dry out and warm up again in the midweek period. Later this week, the storm track will sag south again. How far south it comes is critical. The GFS and ECMWF (Euro) are closer than they were yesterday, but the GFS is still considerably farther south and considerably stormier for Friday-Saturday. It’s the difference between a good storm for the weekend, or just a few showers. We’ll have to continue to watch.
Models are not in good agreement on the details, but do agree on the pattern getting gradually more active in the March 10-15 timeframe. Good news for those of us that still need more powder days!