This weekend will be breezy ahead of storm system that will push into the area later in the day on Sunday into Sunday night and Monday. This storm will bring a round of snow to northern and central Utah with decent accumulations likely in the mountains. Monday powder day looks like a safe bet.
There has been very little change in the forecast models over the last few days. A potent cold front will push through Sunday night and bring snowfall to the region. Today and Sunday will be mostly cloudy and breezy ahead of the system. Snow will begin Sunday afternoon up north and Sunday evening in the central Utah. Snow will be heavy at times through Monday. The timing is perfect for a Monday powder day.
The forecast from Thursday was 6-12″ with 12-18″ for the Cottonwoods by Monday night. I see no reason to change that. There will be a good period of northwest flow behind the front so there’s a chance that orographics and lake enhancement could add even more in some areas. Overproducing storms are far out-pacing underproducers so far this season.
We will slowly clear out Tuesday into Wednesday. After that, the models start to go haywire. Huge discrepancies between the GFS and the Euro. The Euro would keep mostly weak systems to our north and far northern Utah might get brushed. The GFS, on the other hand, brings in a fairly strong system Friday and subsequent systems after that. I’m having a hard time believe the GFS right now, but it’s been consistent with this solution for several days. Both models stubborn in their arguments. Will give it another day to see if we get some agreements, but late week into next weekend is a big question mark right now…