Increasing Chances for Pow

Tuesday, February 14, 2017 at 8:15 am

Summary:

Our quiet weather with slowly transition back to a more active pattern.  Light snow likely heading into the weekend with chances for heavier snow later in the weekend and into next week.

Details:

High pressure remains in control with sunny skies.  Things will start to change later on Thursday as energy moves into the west off the Pacific.  Thursday night thru Saturday evening will feature a couple very weak waves.  The first on Thursday night could bring a few inches to the high elevations.  Enough to soften up turns Friday morning perhaps.  Then, the main low pressure system will drop down the California coast before moving east across Baja and northern Mexico.  This will send up some energy on Friday night and Saturday.  We could see a continuation of scattered showers, mostly in southern Utah.  Any mountain accumulations should be light for the first half of the weekend.

On Sunday, more prominent moisture will push in from the Pacific and cross the Great Basin.  This is when we could see more appreciable accumulations in the mountains.  Hopefully this will lead to some decent powder skiing on Sunday and Monday.

Liquid totals from Thursday night through Monday look like this:

The “yellow” areas on the map indicate areas of >1″ of liquid.  This includes the Cottonwoods and PC ridgeline, the northern Wasatch and the Uintas.  These are the places that could see a foot or more of snow during this 3-day period.  Nothing major, but a series of weak waves this weekend that could add up.  Snow levels currently look like they will be between 6-7k feet for most of the weekend.  Not nearly as warm as last week, but not exactly cold either.

Long Range:

Right now it looks like we see another storm middle to late next week as the trough progresses inland.  The hope is that we’ll see a few days with chances for snow and colder temperatures during this time.

Haven’t looked at snowpack in awhile.  Don’t have the time to get too deep into it, but needless to say, we are still well above average.

Remember, right now we are virtually guaranteed to finish above average for the season as a state.  Which means anything we get from now on is a bonus!

WSF





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