Saturday Refresh

Saturday, February 4, 2017 at 6:28 am

Summary:

Relatively weak storm is pushing through the region this morning.  Snow showers will taper off by this afternoon.  A series of three storms will affect the region for the upcoming week.  Significant snowfall totals are possible.

Details:

Snow showers continue in the high elevations.  Snow has been falling periodically since yesterday evening.  Amounts have generally been in the 1-6″ range with the highest amounts at Sundance, Deer Valley, and Brighton — three areas favored by a SW flow.  A couple additional inches are likely by the time snow tapers off late this morning or this afternoon.  Should end up in the 4-8″ forecast for most locations.

Sunday is a break day.  Next storm pushes in late Sunday night into early Monday morning. Snow will fall in the mountains on Monday with snow levels between 6-7k feet.  So the snow will of a dense variety.  Still, we could get some fairly significant totals.  06z 12km NAM portrays up to 20″ of snow on Monday for the Upper Cottonwoods:

Univ of Utah

So both Monday and Tuesday could be good skiing.

Tuesday is a another break between waves.  The next push of moisture will move in Tuesday night into Wednesday.  Confidence in this wave is still low as some model runs have been weaker with this wave and push the moisture farther north.  Still, I think it’s likely we will see another wave of high mountain snowfall on Wednesday with chance for some decent accumulation.

Another break on Thursday, then a final storm for late Friday into Saturday.  This system is very low confidence, but more and more ensembles seem to be hopping on board.  Could be another decent snow producer and could have some colder temperatures with it.  We’ll have to keep an eye on it.

Overall, we should see some significant high elevation accumulation over the next 7 days.  What a winter!

Long Range:

It does look like we see a break from about 2/12 – 2/17.  Then, some indications that a more active pattern redevelops after that.

WSF

 





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  • RMPC

    Any meterological or geographical reason why PCMR is never mentioned as being favored by SW flow; only Sundance, DV and Brighton?

    • BK

      Passive-aggressive dislike for Vail? Just one thought…

      • RMPC

        Perhaps but I have read this same statement from WSF in the past even before Vail was in UT. I assume Evan has enough financial savvy not to potentially exclude a large advertiser from his growing empire.

        • BK

          I doubt it, too. Just having a little fun.

    • Just topography, DV being on the south east side of the ridge line tends to really see the benefit of SW flow moreso than PC. But this 3 resorts are the ones who saw 6″overnight, so I was highlighting them.

    • SkiG

      Also, this has a lot to do with where the PCMR snowstakes are. If there was one in the McConkey’s area, I’d guess you’d hear the mentioned. Pro tip: If the storm is SW flow, go straight to McConkey’s/Pioneer area for the best (deepest) snow

      • RMPC

        Echo that. Spent much of Jan. riding McConk & Pioneer lift.

  • Jake

    I like this winter!