A couple more days of quiet weather and valley haze before the ridge breaks down and a storm pushes in for the weekend. Additional storm likely for next week.
Ridge still in control, but there’s an end in sight. Valley haze continues to worsen and air quality is often in the ‘red’ for many locations. Get up into the mountains to get in your cardiovascular activities.
Things will start to change on Thursday as the ridge begins breaking down. Trough moves in off the west coast and will throw weakening moisture into the Great Basin. Most of this moisture will be shunted north of the area. Northern Utah mountains could see light snow showers starting Thursday night and continuing a bit on Friday. Accumulations should be minimal.
On Saturday, the trough itself will start to move inland and we’ll see a better chance for snow. Does not look like a strong storm by any means, but we could see some soft turns on Saturday with snow falling at times. There’s certainly a chance that this storm could bring moderate amounts, but at this point I’d set expectations low. As I said a couple days ago, this system is the sacrificial lamb that will be breaking down the ridge.
EC and GFS have come into agreement that another storm will push in early next week (Monday-Wednesday). Still a lot of differences in timing/strength, but it does look like it will be a stronger storm for the region. Strong enough to fully mix out any remaining valley inversions.
Right now, it looks like late next week (Feb 9-12) we will see a ridge re-build. Lots of cold air going to develop up in Alaska toward the middle of the month. I still think we could see an active second half of February. Just speculation at this point…
Saw this yesterday, it’s our statewide average snowpack:
This shows that our current statewide snowpack (bold red line) is already above the typical April 1 peak snowpack. That means that barring a complete stop in the storm train, we should finish well above average this season.