Light Snow

Thursday, January 19, 2017 at 7:49 am


The first of three systems is affecting the region today.  This storm is relatively weak, so only expecting light snow today into this evening.  Second storm, also fairly weak, for Saturday.  Then, perhaps a stronger storm for Monday.


Really not much change in the forecast over the past 72 hours.  Three storms upcoming.  Weak, Weak, Stronger.  The first storm is pushing through right now bringing widespread light snow to the state.  I’m sticking with the same forecast of 3-6″ with perhaps 5-10″ in the highest elevations on west-facing slopes.

A break Friday before the next storm arrives Saturday.  This one is sliding south and will bring the heaviest impacts to southern Utah where the mountains there could see 5-10″ of snowfall.  For northern Utah, it looks like another 3-6″.

Another break Sunday before the strongest in the series arrives for Monday.  This storm is showing some signs of splitting so that is my one concern.  But it could bring more significant totals to the region on Monday and Tuesday.  Perhaps 1-2 feet if the storm holds together.

A look at the ensemble plumes courtesy of Univ of Utah tells the story of the three storms very nicely:

Forecast for Upper Cottonwood Canyons

Certainly not anything like the storm cycle earlier this month, but it will freshen things up and provide for some good skiing.

Long Range:

Still looking like dominant ridging sets up starting around 1/25 and continues through the end of the month of January.   There are a few signs that the pattern will shift during the first week of February, but how that shift will manifest itself remains to be seen.


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  • Tim

    There are a few signs that the pattern will shift during the first week of February, but how that shift will manifest itself remains to be seen…….so you’re saying there’s a chance!!!

  • Worker Drone

    Ok, so since you offer me no hope of fresh snow during my trip (and yes, it’s ALL YOUR FAULT 😉 please tell me there will still be some good powder stashes in the trees and back country of Alta, Brighton, Solitude, etc. I’m glad it will be relatively cold during those days. I will be curled up in my office in the fetal position waiting for your reply… 😉

    • Sure, you can find pow stashes if you’re willing to work. Cat skiing is also an option if you’re desperate. Whisper Ridge should have plenty of fresh.

      • Worker Drone

        Thanks, good to know!

  • Kyle Cutler

    Where will this ridge set up? Is it possible to see a graphical representation? Can you see this pattern affecting moisture to the north…say the Teton area for Jan 27-Feb 1?

  • MW

    What are the signs the pattern will shift? The buoy says we should have a storm on Feb 2nd!!

  • MK

    1st off: Sincere thanks for your pinpoint forecasts. Seeing that I haven’t gotten up high enough to develop the proper clarity despite various attempts, I’m wondering if in a future post you can visually depict what a southwest flow looks like against our mountains. I sense that west-facing slopes can get the best of it (could be wrong though). Looking for the swirl-a-graph on that one.