To obtain clarity, you must get high

Monday, January 16, 2017 at 8:22 am

Summary:

Quiet mountain weather continues thru Wednesday.  Weak storm arrives for Thursday with another storm for Saturday and another for Monday of next week.  These storms are fast moving and will favor areas to our south.

Details:

Woke up this morning to find an inch of fresh snow at my house overnight.  Normally, this would mean a powder day up high.  Not today.  The snow is thanks to a very thick stratus layer stuck in the valleys thanks to our inversions.   Periods of light snow will be possible in lower valleys this morning, then develop again tonight into tomorrow morning.   Meanwhile, it’s been nice and clear about the inversions with bluebird conditions! Timelapse from Snowbird looking down at the valley stratus:

We need a storm to clear out the inversions.  Next storm will push in on Thursday.  This is another atmospheric river, this time pointed mostly at the Cascades.  As the system pushes south, then east, it will weaken considerable and split a bit.  That means that by the time Utah gets in on the action, we will only see modest amounts.  Right now it looks like snow during the day on Thursday, ending Thursday night with 4-8″ for the high elevations of the Wasatch.

Looks like we’ll be on the “storm every 48 hours” train.  Next in line is timing for Saturday.  This storm is taking most of its energy south, so southern Utah could be favored.   All mountains should see additional snowfall however.  This storm doesn’t look strong, but could be a bit better than the Thursday storm.

Finally, the last in the series will arrive next Monday.  This storm is still a week out, but could be slightly stronger but again could take best energy to the south.

Here is the GEFS plumes from Univ of Utah showing the first two in the series.

You can see the most nature of the storms with only 0.8-1.6″ of liquid from two storms.

Long Range:

Current indications are that after our storm early next week, we will see high pressure once again take control from January 25th on thru the end of the month.  Certainly not a guarantee, but at this point it looks like a break to end the month.

WSF





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  • dhwilkerson

    I kinda figured the latter half of January would be slow.

    • Brad

      your snow intuition? 😉

  • Chad Niel

    Drugs are bad, mmkay