Calm weather continues across the area as high pressure is in control. Ridge breaks down midweek with a storm moving in by Thursday. Active weather should continue across the western U.S. into next weekend and the following week.
Another beautiful day on tap for Utah. Clear up in the mountains while inversions keep a stratus layer over the valleys, this can be seen on this morning’s Snowbird down canyon cam:
This benign weather should continue for a few more days. Things start to change on Wednesday as the next storm approaches. This system will arrive on Thursday with a chance for mountain snowfall developing. Overall, this storm seems to be weakening as it pushes inland. Model trends over the past 24 hours have been weaker with this system. If we looks at NAEFS ensemble plumes:
Not much agreement for the first storm on the 19th. Canadian ensembles have it as virtually nothing. GFS have it anywhere from 0.4 to 1.2″ of liquid, which is a moderate system. Right now, just not a lot of confidence.
A follow-up system will push in for next weekend. Again, a lot of disagreement in models, but most show the heart of this system sliding south of the region. We should still see statewide chances of snow, but it does not look significant.
Beyond next weekend, both the GFS and Euro show at least one more storm in the January 24-25 range. Then we could close out January with another break in the action.