2016 Going Out Like a Lamb

Tuesday, December 27, 2016 at 7:15 am

Summary:

A weak storm will brush far northern Utah Tuesday night and early Wednesday.  Quiet weather for Thursday and Friday before chances for some snow return this weekend, most likely for southern Utah.  Perhaps more widespread snowfall is possible heading into early next week.

Details:

Waking up with sore muscles today.  3 straight days of all day powder skiing.  Life is rough.  But, we’ve got a break in the forecast for the most part.  We will have a very weak system brush far northern Utah tonight into early tomorrow.  Maybe an inch or two up north.  Around the Cottonwoods/PC, I wouldn’t expect much more than perhaps a stray snow shower or two.

This outta clear out for Thursday and Friday with warming temperatures aloft.  Valleys will warm too, but this will be tempered by the inversions in place.  Of course, that means a good chance for some polluted air.

A ridge is amplifying off the west coast late this week into this weekend.  This is going to drop a pair of closed lows down the west coast.  It looks like these will mostly dive into the desert southwest and I would expect only a chance for light snow showers for northern Utah this weekend.  Southern Utah should have a better chance for snow.  Then, another system drops into the region Sunday night into Monday.  Quite a bit of disagreement on the details for this storm between the GFS and ECMWF, but it looks likely to bring a bit more widespread snowfall for the beginning of next week — although amounts at this time don’t look significant.

After 6 weeks of one storm after another, it’s a bit strange to not be talking about major accumulations coming our way imminently.  But we are sitting well above normal for snowpack and breaks in the action are typical.

Long Range:

In general, the pattern after the New Year seems to favor active weather more so than ridging.  I would not be surprised if we get some additional storms into the region during the first and second weeks of January.  Ensemble mean favors a rather unusually large trough encompassing most of the lower 48:

Too early to know any details.  But it’s a good sign that active weather will continue in 2017.  No signs of any prolonged “January thaws” yet.

WSF

P.S.   I had one of the best weekends of powder skiing in my life.  Storming and getting deeper by the minute at Solitude on Saturday, deep powder day Sunday at Alta, and yesterday a great trip to Powder Mountain.  Pure Magic!

Skier: Kyle Hansen, Photo taken by Evan Thayer

 





This entry was posted in Uncategorized on by .
  • HypnoQuail

    Solitude was great on Saturday, followed by an epic Christmas at Snowbird with some very deep powder down Tiger Tail. Whats even better is the bluebird day that followed up yesterday. Unbelievable last 3 days riding!!