The Main Entrée

Saturday, December 10, 2016 at 7:09 am

Summary:

A strong, moisture-laden storm will push through today into tonight bringing heavy snowfall to the high elevations.  Best skiing will be on Sunday, but turns today should get better by the minute.  Additional snow is likely later this week.

Details:

We’ve spent much of the past 24-hours in a relatively lull in precipitation.  Don’t be fooled, so far many mountain locations have seen a healthy .5-1″ of liquid.  Which has translated to 4-10″ of dense snow.  The skiing yesterday was actually very, very good.  It doesn’t take much of this snow for the crust below to disappear.

The heart of this storm is now beginning to enter the region and we should see snow getting heavier in the mountains as the day goes on.  This snow should continue through tonight.  You can see the HRRR models projected radar simulation through 10pm tonight:

It is showing nearly constant precipitation for northern Utah over the next 16 hours, and likely longer into early tomorrow morning.

Snow levels will be high, perhaps peaking later today above 7k feet.  Don’t be too shocked if you see a bit of rain at the base of PC or Snowbasin today.  Snow levels will drop tonight down below 6k feet as cooler air works its way into the region.

Total additional accumulations should be 10-20″, which means that the 10-30″ originally forecasted still looks on track for the most part.  10-15″ for Park City mountain regions. 15-25″ for the Cottonwoods, and isolated pockets of higher accumulations for the Northern Wasatch.

These might not seem like huge numbers, but the dense nature of this snow and overall water content will be extremely valuable.

A break in the action late Sunday thru early Tuesday.  Then, it’s looking like later on Tuesday, we could see another stream of moisture funneling into the region.  I’m not going to speculate too much at this point, but right now it looks like we could have periods of high elevation dense snow thru Thursday before a colder system pushes thru late in the week and ushers in much colder air.  A good recipe to drop a base, then cover it with some fluffy powder.

Long range:

Right now, it appears that we could see a break for a bit starting next weekend into much of the following week.  Early indications are that we could see storms returning just prior to Christmas.





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  • Cassander

    Strange storm so far. Here in Park City (at 6800′) temps started rising Friday afternoon into the 40s, remained above freezing overnight with intermittent rain. Just now (7:45 am Saturday), the temperature has dropped to 33 degrees and the mix has changed back to a fairly heavy snowfall (heavy wet flakes) with no accumulation yet. My guess is that it is now snowing hard up on PCMR and in Deer Valley. The avalanche guns are audible.

  • Erock

    I love these posts. It’s like my morning coffee read before starting my day. Especially when they are like todays! Build the base!! I remember a storm just like this last year around mid December, heavy wet snow got everything open, then it was active through most of January. And then we all know, it turned off and was 60 degrees until mid march. Let’s hope this keeps rolling! 500″+ year cmon!!

  • Brian Allison

    Still raining lightly in PC. When is it ok to panic ?

    • Chad Niel

      It may be time to buy a daypass to a cottonwood resort

  • SkiG

    Live right by the PCMR base and it’s been raining nearly all day. Just changed to snow consistently, albeit lightly, at about 4pm.