Action Packed

Monday, November 21, 2016 at 7:55 am

Summary:

Active weather will continue with several storms likely over the next ten days.  Storms should get colder and stronger over time.  We should be closing out November in style.

Details:

A lot to talk about today so let us dive right in.

Storm #1   This storm is ongoing today.  It is currently snowing in the high elevations of the Wasatch. A look at Deer Valley on this fine Monday morning:

1121_deervalley

Off and on snowfall will continue today with lowering snow levels later today as we transition to a colder portion of the storm.  We’ll even have a chance for some lake enhanced showers later tonight.  Alta Collins station showing 3″ of new snow so far.  I still think 5-10″ forecast for the highest elevations is a good bet.

A break on Tuesday and early Wednesday…

Storm #2 rolls into the region Wednesday afternoon into Wednesday night.  This system is colder and will drop snow levels down to valley floors for Thanksgiving morning.  Not a particularly strong system but could easily put down 4-8″ in the high elevation with perhaps more if we get the benefit of some lake effect snowfall.

Another break late Thursday thru Saturday morning…

Storm #3 is now timing for late Saturday into Saturday night, a little bit later than previously forecasted.  This system looks relatively weak, with another quick burst of snowfall possible for the region.

Storm #4 for early next week has the potential to be the coldest and strongest of the bunch.  Of course, it is still a week or more away, but right now it looks like it could have potential to put down more significant accumulations.

The QPF over the next week shows gradual small steps upward, with perhaps the biggest leap just out past the end of the chart:

weather.utah.edu

weather.utah.edu

Long range:

As we head into December, it looks like a ridge will build off the west coast.  That will dig a trough down into the Intermountain West.  We could see colder systems drop down into the area from BC rather than moving in from the west.  Overall, I’d say the active pattern is more likely to continue than to cease.

A good forecast overall, with plenty of optimism.  Whatever rituals you’ve been performing, keep them up as we are definitely seeing the tides turn to more typical Utah winter weather.

WSF





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  • Jeremy Orton

    On this thanksgiving week I want to express how grateful I am for wasatchsnowforecast. I read your posts daily throughout the winter. Your weather forecasting is the best out there and I love knowing when storms are coming and how significant they will be. Thanks again and I hope you have a happy thanksgiving.

  • Jeremy Greenberger

    I agree with Jeremy Orton. Thank you. I know in past years you posted a donation link at the end of the season. I think it would be a good move to have it up all season! So many people seem to follow your forecasts until their vacation here, and then trickle away. Just a thought!

    Edit: I just found it in your menu, but maybe having as a friendly staple at the end if your posts would be beneficial. This is up to you of course!

    • Jeremy Greenberger

      I just donated instead of more talking about it.

  • Chad Niel

    Does anyone know if snowbird plans to get the snowstake cam working again and connect it to the time lapse? That was like my single favorite thing to look at during a storm.