The Most Boring November Forecast Ever

Friday, November 4, 2016 at 8:01 am

Summary:

No snow in the forecast.  Some signs of hope showing up in the (very) long range.

Details:

No snow in the forecast.  Some signs of hope showing up in the (very) long range.

I checked the NOAA forecast for Sandy, UT this morning and had to laugh at the monotony:

1104

Every day for the next week is sunny with a high temp between 61 and 63.  I don’t think I’ve ever seen that much consistency in November in Utah.  Just shows just how stable this blocking pattern is.

Long Range:

Some positive signs are starting to show up more and more in the long range ensembles.  Eventually, after mid-month, the ridge builds along the west coast and amplifies.  As it does so, it forms somewhat of an omega block that could allow systems to drop down from British Columbia and Alberta into the Northern Rockies and potentially Utah.  This is not a forecast, per se, but rather a slight change in the pattern that could lead to some storms.  The European 45-day ensemble output control run does show a series of troughs for the second half of November, although, I don’t put much credence in these uber-long range forecasts.

Obviously it’s a slow start. It’s going to be very hard for some of the resorts with early opening dates to open as planned.  However, there is a slight glimmer of hope that we can get things going leading into the Thanksgiving holiday.

WSF





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  • Ron Lee

    My snow dances have failed miserably. Time to petition Santa!

  • Steve Treistman

    Keep on pedaling the bikes

    • chris brown

      I would if I hadn’t shattered my damn ankle on one….worth it! Now I just want a good base to form while I’m out of commission for another month or so =P

      • Steve Treistman

        Hope you’ll be ready for the first proper dump on a base!

        • chris brown

          Hey thanks a lot man. same to you

  • Jacob Talley

    i’m dead inside