A strong storm system will move into the area on Monday morning and continue to bring off-and-on snow thru early Wednesday. Significant accumulations are possible. Good ski conditions look likely afternoon Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday.
The storm we’ve been talking about over the past several days is now less than 24 hours away from arrival. It definitely looks to have potential, with models suggesting snow will begin Monday morning and continue off-and-on for 48 hours or so. Snow levels will start out as high as 7,500 ft tomorrow morning but should drop down to near valley floor by Monday night. NAEFS ensembles are quite optimistic still, currently showing a mean of over 2″ of liquid:
Despite the auspicious nature of these graphs, I’m still a bit hesitant on this storm. It’s just not a typical system. A front will drop into the region and stall over the area before pivoting. The trough then becomes somewhat “negatively tilted”. This isn’t typically a favorable pattern for the Wasatch as it usually means a southerly flow; rather, it is a favorable pattern for the Uintas. There’s also a chance the front stalls somewhere other than currently expected. If it does so too far north or west of here, it could dramatically lower snowfall totals. So interestingly, the stalled front that could bring us such high accumulations, could also be the undoing of this storm.
Despite my uneasiness, I still think 1-2 feet is likely throughout the high Wasatch. I think that, depending on how the storm evolves, there is potential for more than that in a few select areas like the Uintas.
It’s a long duration storm so you should have several chances for good snow on different days. Might be time to use the last of those “sick” days you’ve been stockpiling. As for me, unfortunately my sickness seems to be the real deal and I’m starting to doubt I’ll be able to shake it off in time. 🙁
Happy Easter! Let’s hope Mother Nature doesn’t lay an egg like Mother Goose.