A weak system clipping the region this morning with some snow, mainly north of I-80.. Another weak system will clip the area Monday into Monday night. A few snow showers possible, but probably not much in the way of accumulations…
GFS and Euro at adds for next weekend. GFS wants to bring a storm in, Euro keeps us dry. We’ll give the models another 24 hours to figure things out. WSF
After quite an impressively active weather day yesterday, we are much quieter today. A couple weak waves will brush the area over the next few days, but in general, dry conditions will prevail for the foreseeable future. Pattern change still the hope for the turn of the month.
Wow! Yesterday was a unique weather day. The title of today’s post is in reference to some of the adjectives used to describe yesterday’s conditions. The previous two titles on Wednesday and Thursday were “Messy Storm” and “Wild and Quick” respectively, so it was somewhat expected, but even I wasn’t prepared for just how intense the weather was yesterday. Wind gusts on the ridges of 80+ MPH with even a couple over 100 MPH. Winds in the valleys blowing down scaffolding and power lines. Then, around midday, an “apocalyptic” looking cold front pushed through valley. I sat and watched as it pushed in over the Oquirrhs, and I don’t think it’s an exaggeration to say I saw 50 lightning strikes in 20 minutes. Very unusual for February.
Needless to say, this caused some issues at many resorts. Lots of reports of wind holds and lightning holds as the front went through. Some resorts were able to open after the main front had passed, while others decided to not even try to open yesterday.
As for snowfall accumulations, the big winner was Beaver Mountain with 14″ since Wednesday evening! Park City and Brighton reporting 11″ storm total. 10″ for Snowbasin and Powder Mountain. 9″ for Deer Valley. 8″ for Solitude and Snowbird. Alta only reporting 6″, but their automated station shows a 9″ increase in snow depth, so they might have seen more than that. It should be noted that, in general, these totals are likely taken from the upper mountain. I doubt the lower elevations of Park City received anywhere close to 11″…. Maybe somebody who lives up there can verify….? Anyway, you can see full 24 and 48-hour resort snowfall totals by click “Snow Report” on the menu bar. Overall, not a bad storm, but perhaps not the best for skiing purposes.
Generally quiet weather for now. A weak system will clip the region on Monday afternoon and evening, bringing a chance for a few light snow showers. Little, if anything, in the way of accumulations. High pressure firmly in control for next week. You can see the overall pattern in this image for next Thursday (2/25):
You can see we have a trough in the central Pacific, a ridge over the west, and then another trough in the East. Stubborn pattern. The 06z Operational GFS this morning does try to bring a system into our region next weekend, but unfortunately, that solution does not have the support of the Euro or even the GEFS ensembles at this time, so I’m not buying what the GFS is selling quite yet.
The hope is that the pattern shifts as we head into March. At this point it is mostly just speculative, but the GEFS ensembles do show a different, more El Nino-like, pattern returning. Here is the same graphic for March 6th:
You can see the trough has extended eastward into the west coast. Looks like the sub-tropical jet is making a return with high pressure over the east coast. Obviously, this is 16 days out and not something we can reliably forecast, but at this point, all we can do is speculate and hope.