Last Shot

Thursday, February 4, 2016 at 6:22 am


A weak system will bring light snow to the mountains of Northern Utah today and tonight with minor accumulations.  High pressure takes control as we head into the weekend and next week.  Warm temps, sunshine, and valley inversions.


Our last piece of energy in what has been an exception multi-week storm cycle is now moving into the region. Unfortunately, our active pattern is going out with a whimper rather than a bang.  This system is very weak and will likely just bring light snowfall at times today and tonight to the mountains of Northern Utah.  Accumulations will be light with a trace to 3″.  Perhaps an outside chance that the Cottonwoods could work their magic and pick up a bit more….  but don’t get your hopes up.

This weekend we will start to clear out and warm up.  A system passing to our north could bring a few clouds to the area.  By next week, high pressure will be firmly establish and all storms will be pushed well away from the area.  Expect sunny skies and warm, spring-like temps on the hill.  We are getting nearer to the end of inversion season, but I think this pattern will be stable enough that we’ll still see some bad air quality in lower valleys.  Probably won’t be a bad idea to get some elevation and enjoy clear air and do some spring skiing and perhaps tailgate bbq in the parking lot….

As for when storms will return…   The pattern looks to start a transition around February 13th…. not sure we’ll actually get any storms then, but the door could re-open for a return to more active weather sometime around mid-month.  Way too early for any details, but long range ensembles support this idea.  CFS has us gradually getting more active again during the second half of February.  I still think there’s a good chance that another El Nino enhanced southern jet will punch through and bring a series of storms to California and the Southwest.  Whether Utah will get in on that action remains to be seen….



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  • Erock

    Good morning evan. Just curious if there are any regions in the western half of the United States that have more of a chance at snow in the next couple weeks that you foresee. Looking to drive to it if possible. Thanks and happy shredding!

  • Luke

    Figures, planned my trip last year towards end of January and it was in the 50s. This year planned my trip towards end of February and we have a warm up mid month.

    • Florida Sam

      Happened to us last year. We planned early Feb and it was hotter than Florida where we came from.

      This year, we are last week of Feb….. If it’s hot when we get there……

    • todd speakman

      Same here. Last year we were out for Sundance and it was 55. Then in March at Whistler with no snow below 5000 feet. This year I was stoked with all the January snow and now it’s going to be 40 next week…. But snowing and 25 in Nashville.

    • The warm up is next week. After mid-month is a pattern shift back to hopefully more active weather.

      • Jim

        and hopefully more normal temps….

  • Jay

    Hi thanks for the reports. When you mention that the southern jet might punch through do think this is a possibility prior to the 13th of Feb or only after? Thanks again.

    • Anything is possible, but at this point it looks unlikely we’ll get anything before then aside from the dusting we get tonight. My guess is that our next meaningful storm will be after mid-month.