A weak wave moved through last night and brought some snow to areas in far northern Utah. More chances for occasional snow showers today and tomorrow as additional waves move through. Stronger system still likely for Thursday night into Friday.
Last night, a wave moved through the area. It was fast moving, lacked dynamics, but had plenty of moisture, so it looked impressive if you happened to check the radar imagery last night. The big winner was Snowbasin with 4″ of snowfall. Powder Mountain reporting 2″. Everybody else in northern Utah reporting trace-1″. A couple additional waves will be possible later today and tomorrow. These look weak, but who knows, we could squeeze an inch or two out of them.
The next system of note will drop into the region on Thursday and push a cold front through the area Thursday night. The cold front is well defined and strong, but it will move through the area quickly from north to south, which will limit totals. The core of this system also looks like it will stay to our west. Earlier this week, I spoke about my paranoia that this pattern would over-amplify and cause the systems to drop down along the coast rather than progressing inland. It looks like that is a likely scenario now with this first system. This will keep the best snow over the Sierra Nevada without much progression inland. However, I still think the totals I mentioned yesterday are still a good estimate. 4-8″ for the Wasatch with 6-12″ possible in the Cottonwoods, most of which will fall on Thursday night. Friday should be a fun little powder day.
In general, we look dry and cool for late Friday thru Saturday. The next system pushes in late Sunday into Monday. This storm is also showing signs of “over-amplifying” and keeping the best moisture west of us. Again, at least modest accumulations look likely. Monday could be a good powder day as well.
Models have again fallen out of agreement for later next week with the GFS bringing in another system and the EC giving us a few days break. We’ll worry about that later.
To sum up, we’ve got a couple cold systems that will push through the area. Right now the amounts don’t look overly significant but two modest storms is better than zero storms.