Can’t complain

Tuesday, November 24, 2015 at 6:57 am


Breezy conditions today into Wednesday before the snow arrives in Northern Utah on Wednesday afternoon.  Snow and cold temperatures will continue into Thursday with the possibility for snow showers to linger in the mountains all weekend.


Winds are already kicking up outside my house as I type this.  These winds should only increase in strength today ahead of the trough for tomorrow into Turkey Day.   On Wednesday, expect a breezy morning with snow developing in the afternoon.  If the snow moves in early, there could be an inch or two before last chair, but that’s all.  Probably best to wait until Thursday morning.

Snow will continue Wednesday night across much of Northern Utah as the cold front passes through.  The cold front itself is not overly impressive and the setup behind the front isn’t ideal for orographics either for most of the Wasatch.  I think this will limit totals.  The slow movement of the system and high snow ratios, however, could boost totals.   Right now, my best guess is:

  • Northern Wasatch (Beaver, Snowbasin, PowMow): 4-8″
  • Cottonwoods: 8-12″
  • PC / Sundance: 3-8″
  • Southern Utah (Brian Head): 1-3″

These totals are through late on Thanksgiving Day.  Temps will be cold so snow is possible in the valleys but amounts should be light.  For your visual pleasure, here is a map showing where the best snow is likely to fall:

WeatherBell Analytics

WeatherBell Analytics

The low pressure system hangs around the Great Basin region through the weekend and even re-develops itself farther west before moving east again.  This should keep the area very cold through the weekend with great snowmaking conditions!  We will also likely see off and on snow showers through the weekend that could add to our totals.  Right now it’s almost impossible to pin down when these snow showers will take place but the skiing this weekend should be quite good!

Long Range / El Niño:

For once, long range and El Nino can actually be used together as we have a very El Nino-like pattern potentially developing as we head into December.  I will get to that in a second.

First, November is coming to a close this week.  Usually my over/under for a good November is 60″ of snowfall for the Cottonwoods.  I think after this storm we will be around 50″.  So not quite to the level we typically receive.  However, considering that we had the warmest October on record and I had been fearful of that continuing into November, I am not too disappointed.  We stayed consistently cool to allow for some good snowmaking and the storm per week pattern was enough to get the resorts open on time.

El Niño, meanwhile, has continued to strengthen.  Last week the 3.4 region set a new weekly temperature anomaly record.  This week, it increased its record further.  “Hell Niño” has arrived. 😉

I’ve been saying since September that we’d likely have to wait until some time in December for El Niño to show itself in terms of affecting our Wx patterns.  Right on cue, it looks like a niño-influenced pattern is shaping up for the first week of December.  For the last few days, models have been hinting at a huge trough off the West coast with a massive ridge over the center of North America, extending way up into the Arctic of Canada.  This is very much a classic El Niño pattern.  Really, it’s a pattern we haven’t seen much of at all over the last few years.  Check it out, current ensemble height mean for December 3:


You can see the ridge extending up the midwest all the way to the Hudson Bay of Canada.  The deep trough off the west coast.  I added some red arrows to indicate the southern branch of the jet stream’s approximate location in this pattern, taking aim at Northern California.  The blue arrows are indicative of the sub-tropical moisture this is able to pick up.  Classic El Nino.

Of course, as always, this favors the west coast and the systems will have a bit more trouble making it to Utah as the trough remains parked off the west coast with the mega ridge to our east.  Right now, models do show potential for some decent storms first week of December all the way to the Wasatch.  We’ll keep an eye on that for you in the coming days!

For those of you fearing “the blob” — it seems to be having no influence on weather patterns whatsoever and is continuing to weaken.


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9 thoughts on “Can’t complain

  1. Jared Cassiano

    As a newbie to the website, can you explain the “blob”? Does it refer to persistent inversion conditions?

  2. Evan Cuspid Fucking Promale Th

    Evan is it true that your quitting WSF to become a tutor at a local school and your going to use it to rape little boys and girls during overnight sessions?? I heard you shoved an ultra rare yu gi oh card up your asshole and made a kid search for it. You fucking disgust me.

  3. Evan Cuspid Fucking Promale Th

    Rip Wasatch Snow Forecast, so many great I mean cough cough shitty memories of all the lies about our snow report. Evan was always a faggot… That was never a mystery, we all know he is promale as well, but just recently did we discover that Evan likes little boys and girls. He decided to stop wasting his time with his weather blog, and he thought he should now prey on little kids. He took it upon himself to try and get a temporary job as a pre school and elementary tutor. Well finally after all the interviews, a local elementary called and said he had the job. Evan was given the assignment to present his tutoring business at the schools first assembly of the year. Many parents and staff were in the auditorium when the principal announced, “this year we will have a local tutor to help your kids!” The parents started clapping, and all the sudden the principal said please welcome to walnut elementary… “Evan Thayer!” All the sudden this white male walked out onto the stage. It was Evan! And he was wearing this huge brown trench coat. Out of nowhere he busts it open and it revealed all kinds of rare holographic yu gi oh cards. Hundreds and hundreds of them. He then began his speech saying, hello parents I offer tutoring to help your kids do good in school, I offer academic tutoring, body massages, and overnight sessions. Some of the moms started to feel a little uncomfortable when Evan said, if you let your kids sleepover at my house, I’ll give them lots of yu gi oh cards. You could hear some boys from the crowd whispereing “mommy, I want that man to be my tutor.” Evan then started passing out flyers and shit. Well Evan successfully signed up over 20 clients and their kids to come get tutored. Evan was begging the parents for their kids to have a sleepover but most of the parents said “no, that’s inappropriate.” Except for a few. Well the boys and girls got to Evans house for their first tutor session. Evan purposely cranked up the heat in his house so the little girls and boys would get sweaty and hot and would hopefully undress. They asked what they were doing first, and Evan said lets warm up before any of the school work and play a little game. He said…Everyone is going to get naked and do funny chicken dances and the winner gets to search for a holographic yu gi oh card that I’ve shoved up my ass hole. The boys were excited and the girls too! They asked why it was in his ass, and he said oh so you guys can get to know me a little better. Well they played all kinds of other weird and perverted games until it was time for the parents to pick the kids up. When the moms got there, Evan walked out and begged for the moms to allow their kids to do the overnight session, they said let me first investigate and see if the kids are enjoying this! So the moms asked… “What have you guys done all day?” One of the girls said… The tutor man made me take off my clothes and he rubbed peanut butter all over me and then he licked it all off. Another boy said he had to stick his head up Evans ass to look for a yu gi oh card. Another boy said Evan made them play doctor. Another girl said Evan made them all get in a line and take turns licking his pincer. Whoever licked it the best got a pack of yu gi oh cards. The moms were mad and told Evan they were taking the kids back home. This upset Evan and all the kids were taken from him. We asked him and he says he is going to apply at a new elementary school now. He wouldn’t stop talking about how much he loves kids, and their innocence and their warm little bodies. Evan is a fucking psycho, a pervert, and a pro male piece of shit. We are warning all parents, DO NOT LET EVAN BUTT FUCKING THAYER tutor your kids, because he will literally butt fuck them.
    Free yu gi oh cards tho!!!

  4. Stone McDaniel

    Let’s all meet at alta and do a snow dance. Maybe our collective energy will help us get some good totals instead of California and Nevada hahaha 🙂 Hopefully that hint of a series of big storms comes true.

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