A weak and quick moving system is moving out of the area this morning. Best accumulations have stayed north of I-80 so far. There will be a couple inches of fresh for Snowbird and Alta’s opening, but nothing major. Winds could be strong. Next trough moves into the area middle of next week.
Two more resorts opening today (Snowbird and Alta)… Liftoff on the 2015-2016 season!
Last night’s storm dumped a quick 5″ yesterday evening on Snowbasin with an initial surge of heavy moisture. 4″ reported at Powder Mountain. Tony Grove Lake near Beaver showing 12″ of new snow! The front pushed through early this morning and weakened as it did so. I was hoping there would be enough moisture to overcome the lack of dynamics, but it didn’t seem to be the case. So far the Cottonwoods look to have only picked up 1-2″ of creamy snow. Orographics behind the front are trying to get going, so it’s possible for another 1-2″ before things taper off later this morning. The other factor on the mountain this morning is the wind. Some of the high elevation stations have seen gusts of over 60 mph! Do to the high winds, the warm temps overnight, and the largely man-made base, I’m a bit worried the slopes could be icy today in areas where the new snow got blown off. I guess we’ll find out…
After today, we have a break with warmer and drier weather likely through the weekend into early next week. The next trough approaches on Tuesday with snow developing Tuesday night as it currently stands. This trough is cold so snow levels will likely be at valley floors. Snow could continue at times through Thanksgiving Day and possibly into next Friday. Good chance for some decent accumulations in the Wasatch.
In general, the models are hinting at a very typical El Nino pattern to develop by the first week of December — with a large trough over the Gulf of Alaska and a large ridge over most of North America. This pattern is possible any year, so it’s impossible to say it is definitively caused by El Nino, but I think it’s a safe bet. There’s a good chance this will mean wet weather for the west coast. Hopefully that active weather will be able to push inland and bring Utah more snow as we head into the heart of winter.