Rebel Storm

Wednesday, November 11, 2015 at 8:03 am


Fresh snow blankets the mountains of Utah after an overachieving storm moves through yesterday.  A break in the action for the rest of the week into the weekend before another chance for snow early next week.

Details and Storm Wrap-Up:

Yesterday was quite fortuitous.  Models had depicted the cold front push through northern Utah during the night before stalling somewhat in central and southern Utah during the day Tuesday.  Instead, the cold front stalled Monday evening over the Northern Wasatch, taking aim at locations like Snowbasin which picked up 8″ by Tuesday morning.  Finally the cold front pushed south yesterday morning, but left a trailing boundary directly over the Cottonwoods and PC which allowed precipitation to continue much longer than expected.  By midday, the snow tapered off, but not before 8-10″ fell on the mountains of PC, 8-10″ in BCC, and 9-13″ in LCC.   Even Brian Head down south got in on the action with close to a foot of fresh snow!  The second part of the storm was a weak disturbance last night that fired up a few orographic showers and a bit of lake effect.  While most of us were sleeping, this is what the radar last night looked like:


You can see a weak, unorganized band of lake effect and some orographic showers over the Cottonwoods.  This led to an additional 2-4″ in the Cottonwoods overnight.

Storm totals, therefore were around a foot for BCC with 12-17″ in LCC.  Collins station depth increased by a foot, but that has some compacting going on so total were likely a bit higher.  Snowbird is reporting 17″ storm total.   Most other locations didn’t seem to pick up much more than what they got yesterday.   Still, a great storm that most certainly over-performed, mostly because it didn’t follow the script.  What a rebel!

As for the forecast, we’ll dry out and slowly warm up over the next few days.  There is a very weak wave of energy that could bring an isolated snow shower or two to far northern Utah on Thursday.  But aside from that, we’ll be quiet thru the weekend.

Next system is coming in Sunday night into Monday.  It does not look particularly strong at this point, but it will cool us back down and probably drop some more snow.  There’s a second system right on its tail but models have been trending farther north with this system, so we might be on the southern periphery.   At this point, nothing major.  But some storm energy is better than no storm energy as we’ll always have the chance to be surprised.  As I’ve said before, there are no signs thus far of the persistent ridging that plagued us last year.  Nor does the “blob” seem to be having any effect on the weather patterns.


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  • Phillip Rhoades

    13″ at the Brian Head peak snotel. One of the best early season storms here in years. Makes our Nov. 20th open even better. 9 days and counting down!

  • Chan

    Kind of off topic question: any particular reason that there are still so much leaves on some of the lower elivation trees? Is it because of such a warm fall?

    • I’m not an expert in the field… but my guess would be that we had a very late first “hard freeze” this Fall in the valleys.

  • Robert Bruns

    Evan, is the “Blob” still there and if so, why is it not affecting us the same as last year?

    • Yes, it’s still there in terms of the water is still warmer than the 30-year average. But most water on the globe is above the 30-year average so that’s not too special. It does look like “the blob” is on the decline, however. Also, the more I’ve read, the more I think the blob was a symptom of the pattern rather than a cause. Even if it did contribute in some way, last season it didn’t have much competition from external forces. This year, El Nino is a much bigger influence. Very little is really understood about “the blob” and how much it did or didn’t influence the weather the past two seasons. So, in short, your guess is as good as mine.

      • Robert Bruns

        I know it was potentially responsible for anchoring the “RRR”, however that doesn’t seem to be the case this year-thank Ullr!