A weak trailing wave will bring more chances for light snow to northern Utah tonight. A break this weekend before our next system moves in on Monday with snow likely and more cold temperatures.
It’s really starting to feel like winter with cold temperatures throughout Utah this morning. Here are current temps as of 7:30am, Thursday, in the SLC/PC area:
Teens and 20s common in the high elevations with even some single digits in the Uintas!
A relatively weak trailing wave is going to move in out of the northwest overnight tonight. A trace to an inch of snow is the most likely scenario for the northern Wasatch, but sometimes these little clippers surprise us, so it’s not out of the question that a few locations see a few inches by Friday morning.
A break this weekend with warmer temps. The next system moves in on Monday with a cold front pushing into the area. The system is not quite as strong as the trough earlier this week, which in the end may end up being a blessing as it will be less likely to amplify and dig to our west like its predecessor. There is still some risk that it could close off in a similar fashion over California, with the Canadian model in particular shows this solution. The EC and GFS are more progressive, bringing the system through Utah intact. Right now, it looks like we’ll have a good chance for some snow and more cold air on Monday and Tuesday, but at this point it’s too early to get into snowfall amounts.
The Great Salt Lake is relatively warm still and a cold trough this time of year is always going to have a chance for lake enhancement of snowfall. We’ll have to keep an eye on this as well.
After the middle of next week, it looks like we’ll have a short break. The GFS and Euro both have another system moving in sometime around November 14-15, but at this point it’s way too early to have any confidence in this.
We’ve had some bad luck in Utah so far in the way storms have evolved. The good news, however, is that we are already seeing progressively more active patterns developing. There is no sign of the “Ridiculously Resilient Ridge (RRR)” that plagued the west coast last season. This fact alone should put a grin on your face:
So far, high pressure has been anchored north of Hawaii instead, which is a good place to be as far as we are concerned, especially once the jet strengthens later this month into December. It’s only a matter of time before one of these storms really works out for us and we get our season started.
P.S. Forgot to put this in earlier, but I’ve got to say that despite the fact that this last storm didn’t work out for us how we hoped, it’s still such a great sight to see the Wasatch with a new, permanent coat of white!