This system, which a few days ago was looking significant, continues to look worse in the models. Really disappointing. Here is the current map of expected snowfall for the west:
Just a few days ago, there was a lot more “pink” in the mountains of Utah. Now, the Sierras, the Northern Rockies, the Tetons, and even Colorado are going to do alright while Utah looks to get the short end of the stick. Snow should begin on Tuesday and continue at time into Wednesday. Right now I think amounts will remain under a few inches for most locations. A few favored spots could still see upwards of 6″ or so… but nowhere near the possibilities we were showing just a few days ago. BUMMER.
The good news is that there will still be colder air for snowmaking through the work week. The weekend looks warmer and drier. Then another system will push in early next week for another chance for snow. Hopefully we will finally get some luck on our side.
Storm will move into the area late Monday night with snow in the Wasatch on Tuesday. Much colder air behind this system.
Not a lot of great news today. The models have been trending slower, with the precip getting hung up even further north. The storm then pivots and weakens as it moves east. By the time, precipitation finally reaches the Wasatch, it will be much shorter lived and less intense than originally expected. Here is a map depicting the heaviest precip to our west (Sierra Nevada) and to our north (S. Idaho and Tetons):
Total accumulations will therefore not be as high as hoped. At this time it looks like totals by Wednesday evening of 3-8″ in the high Wasatch with 6-12″ in a few favored locations.
I wish I had better news today but unfortunately the anxiety I’ve been sharing about not liking this storm was justified. There was just too much that could go wrong.
The good news is that even though totals won’t be as high, the temperatures will drop significantly late Tuesday through the rest of the week, which should allow snow-making.