A few showers possible Tuesday afternoon and Wednesday with cooler temps. A weak system possible this weekend and again early next week. Significant snow looks unlikely in the next 10 days.
Not much new to talk about, the forecast remains unfavorable for good snowfall. A few showers possible this afternoon and tomorrow across the state as a weak disturbance moves through. The main benefit from this will be cooler temps that will drop us from the near-record values we’ve seen recently.
Back to warm and dry Thursday thru Saturday before another weak system pushes into the area. GFS keeps virtually all precip north of us while the EC brings us light amounts late Saturday into Sunday.
Early next week another system will push into the northwest. This could bring us a chance for more showers Tuesday and Wednesday, however latest model runs have trended this farther north as well.
Like I mentioned yesterday, we are fighting with the ridge and in this pattern it should be no surprise that things aren’t going our way in the models, especially with the trends we’ve seen all season.
Is there any good news out there? Perhaps, yes. The MJO continues to be strong and is moving into Phase 8 as we speak, that is the first phase that is somewhat favorable. If it continues on into Phases 1-2-3, it could provide the spark to flip the pattern and open the storm door. There are some indications starting to show up in long-range ensembles that the ridge breaks down and a stronger jet nudges into the west coast right at the end of the month. Of course, this is almost two weeks out so there’s no guarantee — but if you’re searching for good news, this is all we’ve got right now.