Ridge temporarily breaks down Wednesday allowing a weak system to move through the area on Thursday. A couple inches of creamy snow on the upper mountain is probably all we are likely to see. Ridge will re-establish itself by the weekend and deflect storms away from the area.
Not much new today. A weakening system will manage to push through the ridge tomorrow night into Thursday. Precip amounts look meager:
The one thing this system may have going for it is that the sun could enhance showers a bit during the day Thursday. Diurnal heating is a factor in spring months. However, snow levels will be high on Thursday (6,500-7,000 feet) so the snow that does fall at resorts will be of the dense variety. Not necessarily a bad thing as creamy snow in small amounts is better than fluff as it better covers crust. Right now I don’t think most locations will see more than an inch or two. But who knows, if we get lucky, maybe a few places can reach the mighty 3″ mark.
This weekend the ridge returns and it will keep us warm and dry. A system will be pushing into the PNW but will struggle to bring energy far enough east or south to do us much good. Eventually, a closed low forms and is progged by most models to bring precip to the four corners region late next week. I don’t have much faith in this doing anything for us. Long range models look pathetic right now, to be honest. Occasionally they’ve shown a bit of undercutting of the ridge toward the last ten days of March, but they’ve shown that many times this year and it never seems to happen. At this point, I’d say it would take a miracle at the tail end of the month for us to just see average precip for the month of March. Folks, we just can’t win this season! As I’ve said all year, it could be worse. One look at the ski season Tahoe or the PNW has been having and you’re eternally grateful for what we have.
Hopefully something interesting starts showing up soon in the models….