Active weather will continue with mountain snow across the state this weekend. Southern Utah will see the brunt of it this weekend with Northern Utah getting a good storm for Monday night into Tuesday.
Where to start….? Let’s wrap up yesterday’s storm #1…. Forecast was 1-4″ outside the Cottonwoods with 3-6″ in the Cottonwoods…. Actual amounts ranged from Trace-5″ with up to 7″ reported in LCC. So pretty much right in line with the forecast with most amounts on the high end of the forecast. Good news! Today should be a good day!
Northern Utah should see a break for the most part today and tomorrow although scattered mountain snow showers are still likely with a few inches total possible by tomorrow evening. On Sunday, a wrap around band could push its way back into Northern Utah. This is certainly not a sure thing, but there’s a possibility snowfall will increase again late in the weekend with additional accumulations. I’m keeping a close eye on Sunday for certain parts of northern Utah that could get under this band of snow.
Southern Utah will see the meat and potatoes of the storm begin tonight and last through tomorrow. Additional accumulation should continue Sunday into Monday. I’m still a bit worried that the best precip will slide south and east of Brian Head. Still, I think 6-12″ by Saturday evening is likely with additional accumulations Sunday and Monday bringing storm totals to 10-18″. Several good days look likely down there!
On Monday night into Tuesday, the third and final storm drops into the area. This is the coldest in the series and snow levels will drop to all valley floors. Not a ton of moisture and rather fast-moving, but high snow:water ratios and a good track for northern Utah should combine for at least moderate accumulations. Still a bit early, but 6-12″ seems reasonable for now… If things go our way, certain favored areas (Cottonwoods) could see more…. Tuesday should be a great powder day!
We dry out by Wednesday of next week and it looks like we have a period of high pressure and warm weather for 5-7 days… Models continue to show active weather returning as we get closer to mid-month.
P.S. Record keeping up at Alta goes back nearly 70 years… While some of those older records may be missing some data, it would appear that we are fighting with the record books right now. Since records began in 1945, our least snowy February has has been 34″ of snow. Currently, with yesterday’s snow, we sit at 32″ for February 2015. That means we need 2″ or more today or tomorrow (close call) to avoid going down in infamy as the least snowy February in LCC’s recorded history. Of course, similar records are falling everywhere throughout the Wasatch. I use this location just because it has the most complete data set and consistent record keeping.
Also, remember that this is coming off the heels of January where we saw only 28″ of snow… Which is the fourth least snowy January if these records are to be believed. Two of the worst mid-Winter months in our history back-to-back…. Ouch!