Update Tuesday AM:
A band of snow showers moved through in our grazing system yesterday afternoon with some snow roughly between I-80 and LCC, stretching into PC. Generally, an inch or less fell.
Forecast for the next 10 days continues to look bleak with no appreciable snowfall in sight. As we head into February. The PNA, which has been positive most of this winter, could flip negative and the MJO could be in more favorable phases. That may be the catalyst needed for a pattern change. Next week the ridge to our west moves directly over us with VERY WARM temps likely, especially in the mountains. Spring skiing in January returns. Ugh.
A grazing system will bring northern Utah some clouds today (Monday) and a slight chance for a snow shower. Generally dry conditions will continue most of this week with little, if any, chance for significant storms in the next 7+ days.
Well, we’ve got ourselves a weak piece of energy grazing the northern Wasatch today. I doubt we’ll see anything more than clouds and a few light snow showers in places. The next week looks mostly dry. We could see increases in clouds at times as systems pass to our north and east.
The ski conditions are actually quite good as I’m sure you noticed if you were fortunate to get up on Saturday or Sunday. Despite that, this is a snow forecast website and what we all want is powder. Right now the GFS model has been consistently showing the ridge breaking down over the last few days of the month. The Euro ensembles have been much less optimistic. This is a first big test for the newly upgraded GFS, let’s see which model has a better handle on things.
Unfortunately, all month we’ve been teased with potential pattern changes 10-12 days out and once we got a bit closer, they’ve vanished from the models. Frustrating for sure. Kinda feels like this…
Let’s hope for the best. It’s all we can do right now. As soon as something tangible and reliable shows up in the forecast. You’ll be the first to know.