A Case of the Mondays, pt. 2

Monday, January 19, 2015 at 6:41 am

Update Tuesday AM:

A band of snow showers moved through in our grazing system yesterday afternoon with some snow roughly between I-80 and LCC, stretching into PC.  Generally, an inch or less fell.

Forecast for the next 10 days continues to look bleak with no appreciable snowfall in sight.  As we head into February.  The PNA, which has been positive most of this winter, could flip negative and the MJO could be in more favorable phases.  That may be the catalyst needed for a pattern change.  Next week the ridge to our west moves directly over us with VERY WARM temps likely, especially in the mountains.  Spring skiing in January returns.  Ugh.




A grazing system will bring northern Utah some clouds today (Monday) and a slight chance for a snow shower.  Generally dry conditions will continue most of this week with little, if any, chance for significant storms in the next 7+ days.


Well, we’ve got ourselves a weak piece of energy grazing the northern Wasatch today.  I doubt we’ll see anything more than clouds and a few light snow showers in places.  The next week looks mostly dry.  We could see increases in clouds at times as systems pass to our north and east.

The ski conditions are actually quite good as I’m sure you noticed if you were fortunate to get up on Saturday or Sunday.  Despite that, this is a snow forecast website and what we all want is powder.  Right now the GFS model has been consistently showing the ridge breaking down over the last few days of the month.  The Euro ensembles have been much less optimistic.  This is a first big test for the newly upgraded GFS, let’s see which model has a better handle on things.

Unfortunately, all month we’ve been teased with potential pattern changes 10-12 days out and once we got a bit closer, they’ve vanished from the models.  Frustrating for sure.  Kinda feels like this…



Let’s hope for the best. It’s all we can do right now.  As soon as something tangible and reliable shows up in the forecast.  You’ll be the first to know.


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20 thoughts on “A Case of the Mondays, pt. 2

  1. brig

    Winter went on vacation. That cat jump fail is the new goundhog day when its high pressure January again.

  2. Kristen

    How is this January comparing to last year? Last year we arrived in PC and it hadn’t snowed in 3 weeks. We found the conditions to be just fine, being that we’re Vermont skiiers.

  3. TR

    Been in Park City the last 8 days and things are holding up nicely. Lot brown starting to show on south facing stuff but snow is in great shape on everything else. Oh, snowing moderately as we speak….

  4. Shawn

    Rode bird sat/sun and Brighton today. Lots of great snow/stashes lines still to be had. Snowing lightly at Brighton up top in afternoon. Great snow with some hiking and the right directional aspects re: sun baked. I’m a vermont bred western rider, conditions were excellent carving groomers and vermont tree shoots:) Kristin you should have fun:)

  5. TR

    Can’t imagine how bad things would have looked in PC by the end of next week if we hadn’t got that surprise 17 inches.

      1. tom

        Love what you do! Really helps those of us planning to ski from out of town. Hope it holds up in PC, we come in 01/30. Thanks again for all your hard work.

      1. Mark

        I was being a bit dramatic but still, after 3 months we shouldn’t be counting our big storms on one hand! I hate waiting 2-3 weeks for it to snow and I’m tired of 300 inch seasons in BCC. Yes, I am a bitter local… 🙂

  6. Tim Bowers

    skied PC yesterday. twigs starting to show on some SF runs that are not groomed but otherwise they look to be doing their best with what they got to keep almost all runs open. burts of snow around 4 and again at 430pm brought a dusting.

  7. Sam

    Looks like resort bases are in the 40 – 50 inches range. Last year when we made our trip to Utah (February 20th), they were all over 100 inches. I recall from a fw post back, we are out passing last year for snow.

    Is this setting up for an Epic February?

    Seems like January is learn to ski month because it usually sucks, but this seems extra suckie this year.

    NOAA seems to think the moisture will return. This is the first time I remember in many years Utah being in the Above average region for Precip 3 month forecast.


    Wishful thinking or the calm before the storm?

  8. tuan

    This year is quickly becoming worse than 2011-2012. Outside of a few good early storms and an over producer, there has been virtually no other systems even bring a few inches of snow. Hopefully things will pick up during Feb.

    I cant imagine how things would have been for PC/Canyons if the storm last week didnt drop 17inches.

  9. Shawn

    It may be calling for precip but it’s also calling for warm temps. Face it , global warming is doing exactly what was predicted 15 years ago and why Colorado decided to seed clouds. I hiked bird and had knee deep sat and sun. Don’t be a powder brat;) check my video on Facebook wasatch snow report page.

  10. Shawn

    They’ve been seeding the clouds in Colorado for over a decade. I don’t know if it makes a difference, meddling with Mother Nature is what’s gotten us in this mess. Ps. I have never seen smog in Salt lake as bad as it was on last weeks visit…reminded me of LA;(

  11. Dave

    Will be in Ogden 1/24 – 1/31, praying for snow that week. In the absense of fresh powder, what SLC / Ogden area resorts have the best groomers?

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