Refreshers…

Friday, January 16, 2015 at 8:35 am

Summary:

A few weak systems will move through far northern Utah this weekend bringing the chance for mostly light mountain snowfall.   High pressure off over the West Coast will keep major systems out of the area for the next 7-10 days, but occasional, small refresher systems will be possible.

Details:

We’ve got a cold front moving in from the Pacific Northwest today.  It should reach northern Utah by late this afternoon into this evening.  The best energy should stay to our north but snow should fall as far south as the Cottonwoods/PC.  This evening, 1-3″ will be possible.  Who knows? Maybe we’ll get surprised and see a bit more….

Another system will move through late Sunday into Monday.  This brings similarly meager moisture to the area, but another couple inches will be possible to freshen things up.  With both these system, the farther north you go the better chance you have to see appreciable accumulations.  Beaver Mountain, for example, may end up doing okay.

Next week we remain on the east side of the ridge.  A storm or two are likely to drop down the east side of the ridge but they will be moisture-starved and likely only good for clouds and colder temps.

Long range:

Both the 00z Euro and 06z GFS suggest that the ridge could retrograde enough to drop stronger energy into our region sometime between Jan-24 and Jan-26…. It’s a long way out and far from certain — but at least it’s something to watch.

WSF

 





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9 thoughts on “Refreshers…

  1. Tim

    12Z NAM coming in a touch wetter with 0.25-0.50″ QPF through Monday afternoon. That’s probably a bit high. It’s snowfall chart is generally 1-2″, higher amounts (3-4″) for the ‘basin, Pow and the Creek. Could be higher there.

  2. brig

    Uber long range models are forecasting a real large storm to move from the western to eastern pac about 8-9 days out. It follows on the heals of 3 smaller storms and if it behaves as modeled it should blast through the high pressure ridge – hopefully.
    http://solspot.com/north-orange-county-long-range-surf-forecast/
    http://solspot.com/content/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/01.15.15-npac-swell-height-forecast-solspot-144hr.jpg
    Couldn’t embed the model shot. One of the links should work.

  3. Tim Bowers

    Once again, the NWS underestimated this storm. Too much focus on global models and ignoring the NAM.

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