Wow! What a day it has been! The Cottonwoods and PC got under a persistent band of snow this morning and it just kept coming at impressive rates. Some areas were seeing 3″ per hour at times. Check out Canyons piling it up today:
Looks like at least 14″ so far today there. The Cottonwoods are closing in on a foot and a half! Areas farther north didn’t see this persistent heavy band so their snowfall has been more spotty, but still, they are falling in nicely with the original 6-12″ forecast. Here is snowbasin showing 7″ or so by the end of the ski day, several more inches likely tonight!
Expect snowfall to continue tonight, gradually becoming more scattered in nature. Another 3-6″ is likely, so storm totals could push 2 feet in a few areas. Remember, this was all from as storm that 6 days ago looked like it would bring us virtually nothing. That’s why I’m always urging people to “keep the faith”…. Long-range models may not look good, but they can change!
Snow has been really coming down good this morning with totals of up to 6” being reported already! This storm has the look so far of another overachiever. Check out the last two hours and Canyons:
Snow will increase later this morning becoming steady and at times heavy this afternoon in the mountains of Northern Utah. Precipitation will gradually spread south late today and tonight through the entire state with snow above 6,000 feet. Mountain accumulations should be in the 6-12″ range with pockets of higher amounts possible.
Our storm is moving in right now with radar just to our north and west (as of 6:30am) showing plenty of returns:
All this precipitation will work into the area today with snow showers above 6,000 feet this morning becoming steadier and heavier by this afternoon as the front itself moves through. Snow should continue in orographically enhanced areas through tonight. Accumulations by Tuesday morning should be 6-12″ with up to 15″ possible in favored locations like the upper Cottonwoods. Again, this is a last chair Monday, first chair Tuesday scenario. It should be storm skiing/riding at places that offer night skiing as well tonight.
I called this a little bowling ball system a few times leading up to today, this map demonstrates that concept perfectly:
This QPF map shows the relatively narrow corridor that this bowling ball is taking from Northern Oregon and Washington state, heading southeast directly through Utah on it’s way to New Mexico. The San Juans of southwestern Colorado should get nailed as well! Strike!
After Tuesday we dry out and ridge up again for the rest of the work week. Inversions should return. By the weekend, moisture begins to stream into the area and showers are once again possible for the northern mountains. The GFS has a decent system moving through on Sunday into Monday but the Euro, which at one point also had a fairly strong system, now shows us getting nothing more than a few scattered showers. Instead, the Euro waits until late next Tuesday into Wednesday before dropping a system into the area. With so much disagreement, there is no point speculating. Let’s just wait until there is more model agreement and hope for the best.
Enjoy the next two days!