Beautiful November Weekend

Saturday, November 8, 2014 at 8:01 am


Nice weekend before a mostly dry cold front moves through on Monday.  A few snow showers and cooler temps are likely to start the week.  More snow possible for late in the week.


Today (Saturday) and tomorrow should be great days to get out and get in some late season warm-weather recreation.  A cold front will drop down the Rockies Sunday night.  This has been well advertised for the past week.  Northern Utah will be clipped by this system.  Small changes farther east/west with this system would have large implications with the amount of cold air/moisture we get.  Right now the models have trended slightly farther west than yesterday, which means we’ll drop a good 10+ degrees from the highs on Sunday.  It also means we have a better chance for a few snow showers.  I doubt we’ll see more than a dusting in the high elevations, but you never know.  Best chance for snowfall will be in the Uintas.

We clear out and remain near average for most of next week.  Things change on Friday as moisture undercuts the west coast ridge.  Both the GFS and the EC have been consistent bringing moisture into the area through next weekend. There are, however, a number of differences between models and individual runs — which makes it nearly impossible to make a detailed forecast just yet.  These differences pertain to the amount of dynamics associated with this moisture, the exact location of the best moisture, and how much cold air filters into the region.  It does seem likely that the mountains of at least Northern Utah should get some snow Friday into the weekend.

Long range:

Still no consensus in the long range.  GFS operational has been consistent bringing a series of storms into the west coast.  The EC seems significantly more reluctant.  Long range ensembles are all over the place.  So again we are left to just wait and see if more consistency develops.  CFSv2 favors increasing frequency and strength of storms through the first week of December… Let’s hope it’s on to something…


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