Back to waiting…

Tuesday, November 4, 2014 at 7:09 am

Summary:

High pressure has taken control and will keep the area dry and relatively warm for the foreseeable future.

Details:

High pressure has taken control and will keep the area dry and relatively warm for the foreseeable future.

Long range:

Early next week the EC still insists on dropping a cold system down the Rockies.  It is farther west with this feature than other models and would at least bring the area some cooler temps.  The GFS operational has been fairly consistent in showing a system moving into the west coast around 11/13 and perhaps moving into Utah, which is right at the end of our 10 day window. Unfortunately, the GEFS Ensemble mean and the ECMWF or its ensembles don’t really support this idea.  They all keep ridging around through mid-month.

My guess is that something will show up in the models in the next few days for us to talk about.  Super Typhoon Nuri is heading past Japan toward the outer Aleutian Islands where it will become “sub-tropical”.  There’s a good chance it will have some effect on our weather downstream, it’s just hard to know what that is just yet.  Stay tuned…

WSF





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  • chandler

    How bad do you expect the inversion to get over the coming week?

    • It will be there. But probably nowhere near as bad as the classic december/january variety.

  • Steve

    Boy, the NOAA CPC 6-14 day temp/precip outlook is really not being helpful. Sure would like to see signs of a pattern change at some point.