Continuing to watch models to see if a consensus forms on when we can break down the ridge enough to get a storm or two into the area. For right now, it looks like a continuation of warm, tranquil Autumn weather through the rest of the work week. Next weekend we start to see the ridge axis move westward, allowing for at least some cooler air to work its way into the region. Models agree that early next week the Northern Rockies will see a series of disturbances move through the region. The question regarding these disturbances is how strong they will be, and how deep/far west the associated trough will set up.
Still a lot of uncertainty… Right now what we know for sure is that it will be warm this week, then cool down this weekend into next week with an increasing chance for valley rain showers / mountain snow showers. At this point, nothing in the next 10 days looks major by any stretch of the imagination. Just easing into winter for now….