A monsoonal moisture surge is over the state today, Wednesday. Numerous showers with potentially heavy rain will affect the region. Flash flooding is possible in slot canyons and near burn scars. We dry out and warm up again for the weekend.
El Nino update:
Sea Surface Temps have actually been cooling as of late, with the latest ONI right at normal in the Nino 3.4 region. There are several theories as to why this is occurring, but one thing’s for sure, it is not what models were forecasting back in May. With that said, models continue to suggest that El Nino will still develop during the fall months. It looks as though our chances of a strong El Nino developing are now slim to none. If we do have an El Nino event, it will be of the weak to moderate variety.
As for how these developments affect us, there’s really no change for Northern Utah as El Nino usually brings equal chances for above/below normal precipitation. However, it might not be good news for Southern Utah and the desert southwest, which were banking on a good El Nino event to mitigate drought conditions.
Still plenty of time before the resorts open and therefore plenty of time for oceanic and atmospheric conditions to evolve… As always, we’ll keep an eye on it all for you.