Good Signs

Thursday, March 20, 2014 at 7:57 am


A warm day today, although a dry cold front will kick up winds a bit, especially this afternoon before it pushes through tonight.  A weak disturbance will fire up a few light showers in Central and Southern Utah on Saturday.  Otherwise, we will be dry and Spring-like for the next 7 days.  Pattern change looking likely late next week with a return to snow.


Another warm day today before a dry front moves through tonight.  Won’t do much other than bring in a few clouds and breezes.  This front will drop into central Utah tomorrow where it is forecasted to slow down or stall.  A weak disturbance is progged to ripple along this stalled front on Saturday and generate light showers in central and southern Utah, but the majority of the Wasatch should stay dry with just some clouds on Saturday.

By Sunday, we clear out again with high pressure dominating through Wednesday morning of next week.  Here is a look at the total forecasted precip thru Wednesday, March 26:



You can see there is virtually nothing for Utah in the next week except the light showers mentioned earlier in Central/Southern Utah on Saturday.

However, things change by next Thursday as a strong Pacific system is progged to move into the West.  ECMWF digs this system deeper than the GFS, but both models show precipitation for Northern Utah.

Long range:

Active pattern looks like it will continue through the end of March and hopefully into early April.  Here is a look at the same model forecast through the 30th of March:



You can see that the entire state of Utah is expected to see precip from a few individual storm systems.

It is still very early, but teleconnections and the MJO support the idea of large scale troughing for the Western Continental US.  We may have ourselves a snowy last few weeks of the season at most resorts.


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