Storm Day

Tuesday, March 4, 2014 at 6:36 am


Storm system entering the area this Tuesday morning will bring a quick 4-8″ of snow to the mountains above 7,000 today before clearing out this evening.  Break on Wednesday and most of Thursday before the next system moves in Thursday night for a potential Friday powder day.  Upcoming weekend looks dry and warm.


We are in a very Spring-like pattern currently with progressive systems moving quickly through the area, dropping moderate amounts of snow.  We then warm up rapidly behind the departing systems.  This pattern looks to continue through the next 7-10 days.

First system is just now entering northern Utah this morning.  As seen here on the latest radar:



Snow has already been falling for a couple hours (as of 6 AM) up in the far northern Wasatch with rain below 7,000 feet.  This precipitation will sag south just in time for the morning commute around the SLC area.  Luckily, most precipitation should be rain below 7,000 feet.  Snow will fall in the high elevations through the morning and into the afternoon.  Post-frontal airmass this afternoon will destabilize quickly with a good chance for a few rumbles of thunder.  Orographics will favor NW facing slopes and areas like the Cottonwoods.  4-8″ is still the going forecast for the day’s accumulations.

A break will follow this system on Wednesday and for much of Thursday with warm temps.  The next system moves in late Thursday into Thursday night.  The system looks fast-moving but decently strong in the latest models.  I think 6-12″ will be a good bet.  This next system will also be slightly cooler with snow levels likely falling below 5,000 feet by Friday morning.  This means fluffier snow up high… Friday should be a good powder day!

Another break this weekend with mild temperatures.  A weak system looks to move into the area on Monday with another one possible late Tuesday or Wednesday of next week.  A generally active weather pattern continues.

Long range:

Very little agreement in the models beyond the middle of next week and therefore impossible to make a good forecast.  Will have to wait for some consensus…

MJO remains stuck in unfavorable phases for big storms but we seem to be beating the odds a bit with our current active pattern.  MJO might end up being a total non-factor for us this winter.


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  • Max

    Hmmmm Powmow or the bird.

  • Caroline Graham

    Hey Evan. Do you think the warm temperatures (ie high 30s/low 40s) are here to stay, or do you think we’ll see some colder weather later in March? Snow is getting pretty mushy at lower elevations.

    • I’m sure cool weather will return at times with and after storms, but we are entering Spring now and warmer temperatures and high sun angles are the norm from here on out. That means Spring-like snow.

  • AZ

    I know its 10 days out, but we are coming in on the 14th. Any idea if a snow pattern will still be around or warm sunny days? Either way, it looks like we’ll have plenty of base.

    • Base won’t be an issue. Too early to know anything about your visit, especially with the current lack of model agreement.

  • Taylor

    Heading to Jackson Hole Friday/Saturday. I have looked on several sites and never trust them. I only trust the best.. AKA Wasatchsnowforecast. Do you have an idea on snow conditions in JH this weekend? If it isn’t going to snow, I want to head up to Big Sky, maybe it will snow up North?

    • Jackson will see decent snow all this week, but it looks like it will be dry this weekend. Same with Big Sky. Chances for snow return next week to both areas.