Storm system entering the area this Tuesday morning will bring a quick 4-8″ of snow to the mountains above 7,000 today before clearing out this evening. Break on Wednesday and most of Thursday before the next system moves in Thursday night for a potential Friday powder day. Upcoming weekend looks dry and warm.
We are in a very Spring-like pattern currently with progressive systems moving quickly through the area, dropping moderate amounts of snow. We then warm up rapidly behind the departing systems. This pattern looks to continue through the next 7-10 days.
First system is just now entering northern Utah this morning. As seen here on the latest radar:
Snow has already been falling for a couple hours (as of 6 AM) up in the far northern Wasatch with rain below 7,000 feet. This precipitation will sag south just in time for the morning commute around the SLC area. Luckily, most precipitation should be rain below 7,000 feet. Snow will fall in the high elevations through the morning and into the afternoon. Post-frontal airmass this afternoon will destabilize quickly with a good chance for a few rumbles of thunder. Orographics will favor NW facing slopes and areas like the Cottonwoods. 4-8″ is still the going forecast for the day’s accumulations.
A break will follow this system on Wednesday and for much of Thursday with warm temps. The next system moves in late Thursday into Thursday night. The system looks fast-moving but decently strong in the latest models. I think 6-12″ will be a good bet. This next system will also be slightly cooler with snow levels likely falling below 5,000 feet by Friday morning. This means fluffier snow up high… Friday should be a good powder day!
Another break this weekend with mild temperatures. A weak system looks to move into the area on Monday with another one possible late Tuesday or Wednesday of next week. A generally active weather pattern continues.
Very little agreement in the models beyond the middle of next week and therefore impossible to make a good forecast. Will have to wait for some consensus…
MJO remains stuck in unfavorable phases for big storms but we seem to be beating the odds a bit with our current active pattern. MJO might end up being a total non-factor for us this winter.