One more day of dry weather today before the next system moves in tomorrow (Wednesday). Snow will begin Wednesday morning and last through the evening hours, tapering off by Thursday morning. Accumulations of 4-8″ with up to a foot in favored locations like the Cottonwoods is likely. A few weak additional impulses through Saturday could keep snow showers around. High pressure returns for early next week.
Today will feature dry weather, but a general trend of increasing clouds and breezes will prevail in advance of a cold front for tomorrow.
The next system will move into Utah tomorrow morning with snow spreading south throughout the day. This is a cold storm and snow levels should drop to valley floors by the afternoon. Snow will continue through the day, and likely into the evening hours before turning showery overnight and ending by Thursday morning. As mentioned previously, this is a cold storm and we will return to seeing “The Greatest Snow on Earth”. The system does lack a bit in moisture and will be moving fairly quickly, which will limit amounts. However, 4-8″ seems reasonable for the high elevations with up to a foot in areas favored by a northwest flow like the Cottonwoods. There is a slight chance of lake effect or enhanced snowfall southeast of the GSL. Lake to air temperature differential is marginal for good lake effect bands, so don’t think it’s likely, but worth watching.
Overall, Wednesday will be great storm day skiing/riding while Thursday should be post-storm goodness! Get some!
A break on Thursday before another weaker front pushes into far northern Utah Friday. This system, which was looking much better a few days ago, now looks only to be a grazer with just a few inches of snow, primarily north of I-80. Clouds and another weak impulse will pass by on Saturday before we start to clear out by Sunday.
High pressure looks like it will dominate through most of next week with temperatures soaring well above normal. Spring skiing!
All global models continue to indicate the ridge breaking down by the end of the month. Both the GFS and EC have the first storm moving into the region around Friday, February 28th. Both models then suggest more systems beyond that into the first week of March. This is all 10+ days away and, as always, is subject to change. But at this point, it appears our dry spell will be short-lived before we return to winter.
This is where snowpack numbers currently stand:
Northern Utah still near normal with 85-95% in the Central Wasatch. Southern 2/3 of the state still lagging behind. Wouldn’t expect these numbers to change too much between now and the end of the month. If the early March storm cycle does well for us, we could catch up to average quickly!