Cloudy and warm today. Quick moving cold front will bring a chance for snow tomorrow to the area. Another break on Monday and Tuesday before colder storms are possible for the latter half of the upcoming week.
Mild air continues to dominate the area. It’s a dirty ridge we are under with lots of residual moisture providing cloud cover today. Some resorts in the Wasatch saw additional snowfall in the past 24 hours, although amounts were generally below 3″. Check out the Tony Grove Snotel graph:
An additional 5″ of liquid since Wednesday! Tony Grove is now above the peak snowpack numbers of the past two seasons and is well above average. Very good news for those living near the Idaho border.
More snow is in the forecast, starting with a fast-moving weak cold front tomorrow. This will move in during the early morning hours and spread south into the Central Wasatch by midday. This system will drop snow levels down to near valley floors by the afternoon, however, moisture should be waning by then. Because this is a short duration event, I don’t expect accumulations to be high. In fact, accumulations should just be in the 1-4″ range. Could be enough to soften up the afternoon hours or early Monday morning….
High pressure nudges back in for a warm and dry Monday and Tuesday before a trough digs into the Western US on Wednesday. There are two distinct systems. The first for Wednesday will impact primarily Northern Utah with snow. Right now it looks like amounts will be moderate for the high elevations, perhaps in the 6-12″ range. The second system is right on its heels for Thursday night into Friday. This systems looks similar in strength, but could dig a little farther south and give more of Utah a chance for snow. Another 6-12″ would put 3-day totals at 1-2 feet. Of course, it is still very early and these numbers are, as always, subject to change.
Models seem to be zeroing in on a solution in the long range. Unfortunately, it looks like high pressure will give us an extended break in the action from next weekend through the end of February. Periods of high pressure are normal, so there is no reason to despair. In fact, we’re only halfway through the month and we’ve already exceeded February precip averages in many places — so it’s been a good month for us. Hopefully this high pressure to end the month will pave the way for a snowy March. Time will tell…