DeJa Vu

Thursday, February 13, 2014 at 7:02 am


A continuation of our warm, moist flow will keep periods of snow going in the mountains today above 7,000 feet with rain likely below that.  Warm and dry on Saturday before a weak system moves through the area Sunday afternoon.  Colder storms likely middle to late next week.


Another day with the same story… Atmospheric river is transporting moisture from the tropics into the Pacific NW with a hefty amount of residual moisture spilling into Northern Utah.  Snow fell for much of the night in places in the Wasatch, but it was of the very dense variety.  24-hour snow reports so far stand as follows:

  • Northern Wasatch: 5-7″
  • Cottonwoods: 7-8″
  • Park City ridge: 4-5″

A full list of snow reports can be found by clicking the Ski Utah logo in the sidebar.

Remember, the forecast from yesterday was 10-16″ up north by Friday with 5-10″ in the Central Wasatch.  I came on and wrote an update around 9:30 AM yesterday saying that based on guidance, it would be possible for the Cottonwoods to see up to a foot.  It seems like based on what we’ve seen so far, that will be likely.   So we are on track so far with our snowfall totals.

Snow will fall off and on today and tonight in the Wasatch.  Snow levels continue to run at 7,000 feet or so and may even spike up to 7,500 feet at times between waves.  Elevation is once again your friend today.  Resorts with lower base elevations will likely see rain mixing in down low.  Pack the trash bag if you’re going skiing!

We’ll start to clear out by Friday afternoon. Saturday will still have clouds around and a chance for showers near the Idaho border, but largely it will be a break day.  Temps will climb to near 50 in the mountains and close to 60 in the lower valleys!  A taste of Spring for sure.

The next weak wave moves into the area during the day on Sunday.  A quick period of snow will be possible Sunday afternoon into Sunday evening but at this time accumulations should only be a few inches.  Hopefully it will be enough to soften things up for a nice President’s Day treat…



A break in the action on Monday and Tuesday before the pattern becomes more favorable for more typical Utah powder.   Right now it looks like there are two separate cold fronts.  The initial one is timing for Wednesday, Feb 19.  It should cool us down back to normal winter temps and also bring snow to the mountains and possibly the valleys.  The second system will be on its heels for late Thursday and Friday of next week.  This system is looking decently strong and could bring snow to most elevations of the state with the potential for significant snow in the mountains.  We are still a week away from this event so it will bear watching, but it will be nice to get blower powder on top of the solid base we’ve been building.

Long range:

Models are struggling but more ensembles favor a continuation of active weather through the end of February than favor ridging.  MJO seems like it is on the move again and might be strengthening — this could be a factor in our Wx as we head into March.




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8 thoughts on “DeJa Vu

  1. Jack

    I’ll be arriving in SLC on 2/21. Sounds like I’ll be hitting it at the right time. At this point, do you expect conditions to be ripe for the last week of Feb?

  2. Steve

    And what does it mean again when the MJO stengthens? Will be there in first half of March, so curious as to outlook. Although I do realize that is out in fantasyland range.

    1. Wasatch Snow Forecast Post author

      Strengthening just means it will be more likely to have an impact on our weather. Unfotunately, it looks like it is going to strengthen through unfavorable phases for the next couple weeks. Hopefully by March we’ll see it move into more favorable phases. We haven’t seen a moderate or strong MJO in favorable phases at all this winter. Probably a big part of the reason why it’s been so tough for us to get consistent storms into the area.

  3. 2muchsnow

    Update from the PC side (6400 feet, kimball junction), heavy heavy rain for the past hour this afternoon. summer thunderstorm kind of rain, including lightning and thunder. Rather depressing from the skiing side of things. Hopefully snowing higher up.

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