Cool northwest flow will allow for a few occasional light snow showers today through the weekend. Other wise we’ll have partly cloudy skies. Next system currently timing for Tuesday.
Storm is pretty much wrapped up. There is a weak lobe of energy in northeast Nevada right now that could spawn a few snow showers in the mountains later today, but accumulations should be light. It looks like a northwest flow will continue through the weekend with the main storm track well to our south.
We have now experienced a major shift in our pattern from one of dominant high pressure to Western troughing. A lot of comments lately wondering why it’s a pattern change if we aren’t expecting to see frequent storms this week. Important to remember that a pattern change doesn’t mean that we are destined for endless powder — it is possible that pattern changes can take us from one type of dry pattern to another type of dry pattern. With that said, this pattern doesn’t look to produce major storms anytime soon, but it doesn’t look totally dry either. More on that in minute.
Yesterday the front dropped south of the Wasatch quickly, which limited our snowfall totals a bit. 48-hour totals ranged from 8-15″ with an average of 12″ from Wasatch resorts. While this is on the low end of the original 10-20″ forecast, it was nice dense snow that had plenty of liquid in it to help of our SWE. Good base building snow.
After dropping south of us, the front slowed and even stalled for a bit along the I-70 corridor east into Colorado. The western slope of Colorado has the perfect topography for creating orographics when there is enough moisture. Unfortunately, Colorado is so far inland that it rarely sees as much moisture as it did yesterday. The result was pretty incredible. Reports of over 30″ of snow at resorts in Eagle and Summit Counties in Colorado, which is extremely rare for them. Check out this timelapse of the Vail snowstake yesterday:
Fun to watch! Makes me just a touch jealous, although I did have an awesome powder morning yesterday myself.
Back to our forecast… So after a mostly dry weekend and start to next week, we’ll have a weak system track through the area on Tuesday. Models have been decently consistent with this feature. Right now, it looks like the type of storm that could drop 3-6″. Not a ton, but enough to create some soft turns.
Later next week looks dry. Models still trying to bring in a stronger system sometime around February 10. We’ll be watching that one closely over the next few days….
Still plenty of powder out there, especially in parts of the mountains that didn’t open yesterday due to avy control. Go get it! Be careful if you’re going into the backcountry as avalanche danger is high!