First part of the system rolled through the area overnight with a strong cold front. Cold front moved through a bit faster than expect, and therefore limited our window for good snowfall. The forecast was for 4-8″ of snowfall overnight and we saw just about that. Majority of resorts in northern Utah are reporting 4-5″. Exceptions are Brighton and Deer Valley, which are reporting 8″ of snow. Snowbasin is reporting 3″ of snow but their snow stake camera has 8″ more than it did yesterday…. Beaver Mountain, way up north, is the winner so far with 10″ new snow.
The rest of today relies on orographic lift. Orographics are always a bit of a wild card — when all engines are revving, it can lead to really good additional snowfall totals. Right now there isn’t too much happening, but hopefully that changes as additional impulses move through the area later today and tonight.
Long range picture isn’t pretty right now. The ECMWF seems to have won the battle of the models and the GFS, which was showing a major pattern change, has now almost completely abandoned that idea. It looks like Utah will be high and dry for at least the next ten days starting tomorrow. This is very frustrating both as a skier and a Wx forecaster. Trust me, it is not fun to have to try to grasp at straws looking for our next chance for snow.