A lot of us are anxiously watching WX models, hoping for something to show up. Not too much to speak of yet, unfortunately. Both the ECMWF (Euro) and the GFS show us high and dry for the next 10+ days. Sun angle is getting lower which allows for more stagnant air to develop in the valleys. I wouldn’t be surprised to see some mild inversions developing over the next week, although they wouldn’t be as bad as last January.
Blocking pattern may start to break down around Halloween but it’s too early to tell if that will lead to storm systems or not. GFES ensemble spaghetti plots show a zonal pattern setting up during the first week of November. Right now, it’s just about being patient and waiting for changes to start showing up in the global forecasting models.
Enjoy the great Fall weather!