Models are finding common ground for at least the short term. We’ll be warm and breezy today with occasional cloudiness thanks to the strong zonal jet passing to our north. This weather should generally last through Wednesday before the jet stream buckles and allows a trough to drop into the area late Wed into Thursday.
At this time, models aren’t showing a ton of precipitation so, at best, the storm would just bring a few inches of snowfall unless something drastic changes. Expect colder temperatures and showers to move into the area late Wednesday through the day on Thursday with snow levels around 6K feet.
We’ll clear out and warm up for another beautiful Fall weekend. Models diverge starting on Monday with the EC bringing a strong trough through the region while the GEM and GFS wait a couple days before dropping the trough to our east giving us a glancing blow.
This is about as Fall-like of a pattern as you get — generally weak systems passing through every few days causing a roller coaster of temperatures and occasional high elevation snowfall. If we were to get a similar pattern to this in another month or two and you can bet we’d be skiing plenty of powder. Can’t wait!