Yesterday was a fun powder day for much of the area. The snow was wet and heavy but still fun. Having grown up in Tahoe, I have a special appreciation for “Sierra cement”–though I much prefer our drier, fluffier variety. There was a bit of a wind crust in places that could jump out and grab a ski/board if you weren’t careful, but once you got into a nice protected area, you could sit in the back seat, get those tips up and rip it! Good times!
Unfortunately, with the high sun angle and the settling of already heavy snow, the quality will deteriorate fast and I doubt today will feature much in the way of powder turns, even in the backcountry. Expect spring skiing conditions to re-develop by this afternoon and last into tomorrow.
The next system will move into the area on Thursday night. This system is weak and will mostly clip the area. I expect a few rain showers in the valleys on Friday with an inch or two of wet snow above 7,500-8,000 feet. We will then see a break on Friday night before another, slightly stronger system moves in on Saturday. Again, some more valley rain showers and a few inches of high elevation snow is possible.
The strongest system will approach later on Sunday into Monday. This system has more cold air and will likely lower snow levels down 5,000 feet or so. However, as I’ve mentioned over the last few days, the track is very much uncertain as many model runs have suggested it “cutting off” and dropping to our west and then south. The latest model runs have trended closer to the area with this Low’s track, however I have very little confidence right now until we get some run to run consistency. Essentially, the track will be the difference between just a few showers and a decent storm for Sunday night/Monday, so it definitely bears watching.
Overall, expect cool weather this weekend with occasional Spring showers. Hopefully we’ll get lucky again and get another solid powder day early next week.