A fitting end to March Blandness

Sunday, March 31, 2013 at 9:16 am

It was a relatively quiet month WX-wise in the Wasatch.  Not what we needed after a dry January and February.  We did have a decent storm cycle last week that “saved our blushes” but we are heading out with our third consecutive below normal month.  However, Spring skiing has been awesome the last few days.  If you’ve been lucky enough to get up there over the last few days, you’ve likely found that you can spray corn all day long if you know what aspects to hit at what time.

April will come in a little more active as the cut-off low finally starts to move into the area tonight and tomorrow.  It’s a relatively warm storm, and not especially strong.  So expect off and on rain showers this evening through early Tuesday with snow above about 8,000 ft.  The scattered and wet nature of the snowfall will mean very little in the way of accumulations, probably just a few slushy inches, but we’ll take whatever moisture we can get.

We then dry out and warm up again for Wednesday and Thursday before a weak system brings a threat for more rain/high elevation snow on Friday.  This weak system will precede what could be a stronger, colder storm for late next weekend, although details are still vague as models disagree on how to handle the system.  We’ve been seeing cut-off lows all winter, but this time of year they are even more common, so again, I’m afraid it might split and dive too far west and south to give us significant snowfall.  We’ll have to continue to wait and see what the models decide.

Let’s keep our fingers crossed that we can get a good pattern change going — we need it!


Big thanks to City Weekly for awarding WSF Utah’s Best Backcountry Skier Resource!  We definitely appreciate the honor!

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  • Steve

    I have a question I hope you can answer. For recent storms, when looking at the GFS, oftentimes it looks like a lot of the moisture gets stopped at the western border of the Great Salt Lake. Just seems odd that it would stall out that close. Is that the splitting effect you’re talking about? In other words, it splits just to the west.Thanks

    • I know what you’re talking about but I think it has more to do with a stalled frontal boundary than splitting, at least in this case. I think the GFS also does a poor job with forecasting exact QPF as it is a low resolution model. Probably better to broad brush the precip rather than focus on those pockets of higher QPF. Let higher resolution models like the NAM deal with it when they get within range.

  • Steve

    Thanks for the info. Headed back for last ski trip so quite interested in what happens next weekend and a few days beyond. GFS has been consistent in showing something, but i know by now that’s not set in stone.