Models have remained consistent so far with regards to the system for late Wednesday into Thursday. The moist, warm portion of the storm will move through first with higher snow levels and high density snow late on Wednesday followed by the colder, showery Low pressure system dropping out of the northwest on Thursday. The system is by no means “major”, but it’s not horrible either. If it came in January, we might be able to squeeze 1-2 feet out of it, but since it is now late March and the atmosphere isn’t as primed for snowfall, we won’t see nearly that much. I’m still thinking 5-10″ is likely in the Wasatch. NWS came out last night with a 3-6″ prediction, which I thought was a bit low. (It’s not often that their predictions have been less than ours.) However, today the NWS prediction was bumped up to 6-10″ which seems about right. If you’re tired of getting your hopes up only for them to be dashed by our recent series of disappointing systems, I don’t blame you at all for setting low expectations.
On Friday, the system will exit the area, however models now agree that we will be left with a cold northwest flow through this weekend that will keep temps down and keep the threat for periodic snowfall in the forecast. The disturbances that will ripple through the area are mostly weak, but I wouldn’t be surprised to see a few additional inches of accumulations this weekend, especially up north.
Long-range forecast shows that the ridge will eventually nudge its way over the area next week but both the Euro and GFS keep it relatively short lived with systems approaching for the end of March. We’ll see if that holds true, as we desperately need storms in March/April. Even if you’ve given up on skiing/riding for the season, to avoid hydro issues, we should all hope for a wet Spring.