Saturday, March 2, 2013 at 7:29 am

Not much has changed since yesterday’s update. Today (Saturday) will be warm at all elevations, especially up high.  Bring the sunscreen and a light jacket and enjoy an early taste of spring skiing! It won’t last, however, as tomorrow a storm system will impact the area bringing snowfall above 6,000 feet with mostly rain below that in the valleys.  This storm is not particularly strong so accumulations and snowfall rates won’t be too impressive.  Snow should taper off on Sunday evening with total accumulations of 2-5″ with up to 8″ possible north of I-80 and in the Cottonwoods.

We will then warm up nicely on Monday-Wednesday under high pressure.  On Wednesday the next system will approach Utah.  If you remember from a couple days ago, I was worried about this system splitting and developing into a closed low.  Looks like that is going to be at least a partial reality… As the system enters the west coast it will split with the northern half targeting the Northern Rockies and the southern cut-off low dropping into the desert SW.  The northern portion of the storm will bring snow to northern Utah late on Wednesday into Thursday.  It has a decent moisture tap, but it doesn’t look like it’s going to be a direct hit at this point, so I don’t think Utah will see overly significant snowfall.  The southern cut-off low on the other hand, will wait until Friday to meander to our south.  This could bring snow to the mountains of far southern Utah.

So to sum up, we’ll probably have one weak and one moderate storm in the next 6 days.  Good, but not great.  Models still hinting at developing broad, cold trough over the West toward mid-month.  It’s a long way out, so we’ll just have to wait and see.

Enjoy the days of warm weather in between storms this week!


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  • Anonymous

    Hi WSF. Are you thinking March will turn out to be a disappointing month snowfall wise since it looks as though hardly any snow will fall in the Wasatch through mid-March? It can’t be this bad for the whole month, can it?

    • It still has potential to be average or even above average if we can get a nice prolonged period of storminess. The upcoming week we have a couple chances for snow. And potentially a pattern change as we head toward mid-month. Don’t give up hope yet!

  • Anonymous

    Hi WSF. You all do an amazing job. Keep up all of the great work you do. Heading out to LCC on March 20th. Do you think that there is a reasonable chance for one last decent storm cycle before the end of March? Are the long-range models showing any signs of late? Thanks.

    • Yes, I would be very surprised if we didn’t get at least one good storm cycle this month. The farthest we can see with any confidence is mid-month, and like I said, there are good signs showing up. So let’s hope!

      • Sam

        What resort will rise the best tomorrow?

        We are talking snowbird or maybe Brighton?

        solitude might be a good option too huh?

      • Anonymous

        Thanks WSF. You were spot on with the pattern change at the end of Feb so I definitely trust your call about the upcoming one in March. I hope it brings at least a few moderate storms!

  • Anonymous

    Hi WSF, any predictions for snow totals on the Wed/Thurs storm? Thanks! Also, I have one question. Do Alta and Snowbird ever receive some of their most prolific snowfalls from seemingly unimpressive storms?

    • I’ll probably have a total worked out by tomorrow. The Wasatch in general can always surprise us with lots of snow from storms that don’t seem all that impressive. Let’s hope we get a few of those this month!

  • Thanks for the update! Fingers crossed that we get a few inches this week.

  • peter

    what do you think the timing of tomorrow’s 4-8 will be for LCC? Eight inches falling throughout the ski day is one of my favorite forecasts, but only a couple before the close def is nothing to get excited about. Thanks!

    • Snow should start in the morning… but snowfall rates won’t be particularly high. My best guess is that there will be 2-5″ by close at 4 with an additional 2-3″ later in the evening. Hopefully we’ll get more than expected!

      • david

        Do you expect the same timing for Northern Wasatch? One of our last days in UT and trying to decide to where to ski tomorrow. Powder mtn, snow basin, canyons or snowbird.. Thanks

        • This is probably too late, but snowbasin and powmow usually get snow earlier than the Cottonwoods as systems generally move in from the NW. That looks to be the case this morning. Hope you have an awesome day no matter where you go!

  • david

    Thanks!.. still debating here with the group.. Pow Mow or Snowbasin?? what are your thoughts? will one have a better chance of benefiting from this type of system? thanks

    • They are pretty close geographically so there won’t be too much difference. I’d probably go with Snowbasin, webcams show they’ve at least seen an inch or two so far.

      • david