Snow showers still exist this morning in parts of Utah but they are few and far between and generally very light. Last night’s piece of energy produced exactly what we were expecting in terms of amounts. The Cottonwoods are reporting 6-7″ of fresh snow for storm totals of just about a foot. Park City resorts are reporting 4-5″ which puts them at about 8″ for storm totals. Powder Mountain did well yesterday and is now level with the Cottonwoods and Sundance for storm total snowfall.
Today we will see a last, weak reinforcing shot of energy fire up additional snow showers this afternoon. I don’t expect more than a quick couple of inches. It looks like we are going to finish about smack dab in the middle of our 10-20″ original snowfall forecast in the Cottonwoods and at the low end of it elsewhere. So not a great storm but definitely not a total dud either.
Looking to the future, we’ll have a ridge set up over the West Coast again this week. We’ll see a return to at least weak inversion conditions. There is a backdoor system timing for about Wednesday night and Thursday that could keep the inversions from getting too bad and might bring us some light snow. President’s Day weekend looks dry at this time with another backdoor system possible Monday or Tuesday of next week. Beyond President’s Day, the ridge retrogrades out into the Pacific, which theoretically would open the door for some storms in Utah. However, at this time, both major long-range operational models (GFS and Euro) split the systems as they reach the coast. This is a discouraging sign but it’s also 10+ days away so we have to take it with a few pounds of salt. MJO is strengthening again! And should be on the move toward Phase 2 and 3 over the next few days. Most of the weather world is waiting for the effects to start showing up in the operational models, including myself.
As for snowpack, we’ll let this storm finish up today, then take a look at the numbers tomorrow and see where we stand compared to normal. Hint: it’s not a pretty picture.