More snow tonight/Tuesday

Sunday, February 12, 2012 at 6:06 pm

Quick Monday AM update:

As yesterday’s system exits the area, another one is hot on its heels.  However, this system is really diving south of the area.  Southern Nevada/Utah and Utah should see the brunt of this storm.  Moist flow should still allow for widespread snow in Northern Utah tonight, but amounts will be light.  3-6″ expected for the Cottonwoods, 1-4″ for Park City, and trace-2″ for SLC valleys.  Still have no confidence in the pattern this weekend but at this time it looks like another light snow could be in the offing.  Models having a lot of trouble handling anything outside of 3 or 4 days right now which can sometimes be indicative of a pattern change…… We’ll have to wait and see.

Previous discussion:

It’s been snowing all day throughout the Wasatch with totals ranging from 6 to 12+ inches.   Park City resorts have really made out like bandits with Deer Valley seeing 15 inches in places.  Spotter reports also confirming 8-12″ in the Cottonwoods with several more inches likely tonight before all is said and done.  Slow movement of the system coupled with a moist northwest flow has been keeping snow falling even down to the SLC valley through this evening but it looks like that should taper off before 8 pm… with further accumulations confined to the mountains where light showers could continue into early Monday AM.

Next trough will be right on the heels of this current system, however, southern Utah should see more of the storm than the North.  With that said, it doesn’t mean we won’t get our fair share.  Cottonwoods could easily pick up another 5-10″ with 3-8″ in Park City.  Snow should begin late Monday afternoon and continue through at least Tuesday morning.

Area will start to dry on Wednesday, however the cool northwest flow could allow for some light snow.  Thursday and Friday will be dry and slightly warmer before another trough approaches the area on Saturday.  Not confident in the details of this system yet as the Euro and GFS disagree on both strength and track of the storm.  Long-range forecasts are hinting that storms every 2-3 days could continue right on through the end of the month.  None of this storms look huge, but frequent light snowfalls begin to add up.  There are some favorable signs that March could be a snowier-than-average month.  It would take almost record snows for us to even approach our seasonal average after the disappointing first three months of the season, but at least it looks like we may not set any records for record low seasons.

We should have a better idea in the next day or two what exactly we can expect snow-wise for this weekend.  Stay tuned . . .


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