Wednesday AM update

Tuesday, November 22, 2011 at 9:32 am

UPDATE: Not too much change from yesterday’s discussion.  Friday’s system looks to drop around 6″ in the Cottonwoods.  Rain showers should change to snow showers in the valleys during the day on Friday. Stay tuned…

Previous forecast/discussion:

Wednesday… Ridge will clear us out and warm us up with inversions developing in the valleys.

Thursday…. Southern section of splitting system with spin moisture into the area with some clouds and isolated valley rain showers and mountain snow showers. Little or No accumulation expected.

Friday… Northern, colder portion of storm drops in from the northwest.  Rain showers will change to snow showers in the valleys with off and on snow likely in the mountains throughout the day.  Light to moderate snow accumulations expected.

Saturday through Early Next week…. Ridge builds in with a couple fast-moving storms passing just to our north bringing clouds and a slight chance for showers before the ridge takes total control by midweek.  Looks like we’ll have at least a week of dominant ridging.


GFS and Euro both have been trending drier with the Thanksgiving/Friday storm as it splits and sends moisture to our south and to our north.  The northern half of the system should provide us with perhaps 6 inches of mountain snow.  Interestingly, up until late last week, the models had been remarkably consistent in developing a stormy pattern that would last through the Thanksgiving holiday.  However, over the past 5 days or so, they have been consistent only in backing away from that idea.  Instead they build a strong ridge over the area for the last week of November and first week of December.  There is some indication that the ridge may begin to retrograde into the eastern pacific as we enter the second week of December.  Long way out so we’ll have to keep an eye on that.

Wish I had better news for you all! Stay tuned for developments!

…The Powder Hound…

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