Friday Oct. 21 update: forecast still on track from yesterday… GFS fantasy charts showing a massive low pressure system dropping down the Gulf of AK during the first week of November…. long way out, but would expect some sort of pattern change during that time.
10-day Snow Forecast: Monday night – Tuesday night, Trace – 3 inches possible above 7000 feet.
Ridge going to give us temps this weekend well above normal with sunny skies… Then a cold front will drop south down the Rockies on Monday Night and move through the area Tuesday giving us a chance for a few showers and much cooler temps. Highs around 50 in the valley Tues/Wed with temps struggling to reach 40 in the mountains. Also expect our first hard freeze in the valley Tuesday night. Really not much moisture associated with this front however so expect very little snow in the Wasatch if any at all.
Long-term: GFS still hinting at a possible storm making its way into the area the last couple days of Oct., but models still dont’ have a firm grasp on this idea so confidence is low. Pray for Snow!
P.S. NOAA released their winter outlook for the U.S., pretty much inline with my La Niña post from a few weeks back. The farther north you go, the more likely you are to have above normal precip. Luckily, they the Wasatch range in the >33% of normal category. Which means they are predicting a wet winter but perhaps not as epic as last year. Here’s the graphic: