Not too much change from yesterday’s forecast. Unseasonably warm weather will dominate Northern Utah through the weekend. Valley temps in the mid to upper 80s, approaching record highs. Seasonal temps are currently in the low 70s so we are well above average.
Sunday and Monday will see some convection over the area with isolated thunderstorms possible. The pattern will really start to change on Tuesday as a large trof with several embedded impulses makes its way onto the west coast. The Euro is the most consistent model, still slower and slightly deeper than the GFS and we will favor it because of its consistency. It has the primary precip producing front moving over the Sierras late Wednesday or Early Thursday with over 2 inches of precip (QPF) in the higher elevations of the Sierra Nevada.
The Front approaches the Wasatch Front later Thursday bringing rain and high elevation snow to our neck of the woods. Hard to say how much snow this far out but 6+ inches looks a good possibility. Temps in the valleys look to drop close to 30 degrees from our current highs, with highs next thursday/friday around 60. Winds will increase on Wednesday ahead of the front.
Models have flip flopped a bit after the passage of that front but we may continue cool weather with rain/snow showers into the following weekend.
….The Powder Hounds….